Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Bzenec vs FC Strani

Team pages: Bzenec · FC Strani

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.08Total

Bzenec1.25

FC Strani2.83

1X2

14% 16% 70%

Bzenec Draw FC Strani

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Bzenec 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLWLLL

FC Strani 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Bzenec 2–1–3 FC Strani (6 last)

Bzenec0-4FC Strani
FC Strani4-1Bzenec
Bzenec4-0FC Strani
FC Strani3-2Bzenec
Bzenec1-1FC Strani
FC Strani0-1Bzenec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bzenec 1424 · FC Strani 1592

	Bzenec	Draw	FC Strani
Our model	14%	17%	69%
Market	14%	16%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Strani (rating 1424 vs 1592).
H2H favours FC Strani: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bzenec	FC Strani
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.7	3.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.4 / 5.9	3.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

16.25

X5.75

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.90

2 (-1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:44 +5’	6.25	5.75	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bzenec 2–1–3 FC Strani

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Bzenec	0-4 HT 0-1	FC Strani
31/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Strani	4-1 HT 2-1	Bzenec
23/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Bzenec	4-0 HT 2-0	FC Strani
20/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Strani	3-2 HT 3-1	Bzenec
16/04/22 Czechia 4. Liga	Bzenec	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Strani
29/08/21 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Strani	0-1 HT 0-1	Bzenec

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
3	Hlucin	6	5	0	1	14	6	15
4	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
5	FC Vratimov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
6	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
7	SK Stonava	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	SK Zabreh	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
9	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	6	1	2	3	10	15	5
13	SSK Bilovec	6	1	1	4	4	12	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bzenec	FC Strani
Tatran Vsechovice	0-4 L	4-3 W
Slavicin	3-4 L	2-1 W
FK Nove Sady	4-2 W	9-0 W
TJ Sokol Lanzhot	0-3 L	3-1 W
FK Kozlovice	1-5 L	2-2 D
SFK Holesov	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Strani (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bzenec

LWLDLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	9	7	L
05/09	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
29/08	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-4	6	4	L
22/08	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-2	10	2	W
16/08	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
09/08	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-5	1	2	L
12/06	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/06	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
30/05	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/05	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-4	5	2	L

FC Strani

WWLWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-3	–	–	W
05/09	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
28/08	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	9-0	7	0	W
23/08	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	9	4	W
14/08	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	5	7	D
08/08	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	6	1	W
12/06	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
07/06	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
31/05	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
16/05	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-1	4	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bzenec vs FC Strani?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Strani win (70%). Probabilities: Bzenec 14%, draw 16%, FC Strani 70%.

How many goals are expected in Bzenec vs FC Strani?

The model expects 4.08 goals (Bzenec 1.25 · FC Strani 2.83), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Bzenec vs FC Strani?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.