Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 17/10, 14:30

Prediction: Frydek Mistek vs Slovacko II

Team pages: Frydek Mistek · Slovacko II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Frydek Mistek1.85

Slovacko II1.15

1X2

53% 24% 23%

Frydek Mistek Draw Slovacko II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Frydek Mistek 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWDLWL

Slovacko II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWDLLW

Head-to-head

Frydek Mistek 3–2–1 Slovacko II (6 last)

Slovacko II2-2Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek2-2Slovacko II
Frydek Mistek1-0Slovacko II
Slovacko II1-0Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek2-0Slovacko II
Slovacko II0-1Frydek Mistek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frydek Mistek 1523 · Slovacko II 1511

	Frydek Mistek	Draw	Slovacko II
Our model	53%	25%	22%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Frydek Mistek: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frydek Mistek	Slovacko II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.8 / 7.6	1.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:03 +7’	1.67	4.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Frydek Mistek 3–2–1 Slovacko II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	2-2 HT 2-0	Frydek Mistek
02/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	2-2 HT 2-1	Slovacko II
22/03/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	1-0 HT 0-0	Slovacko II
17/08/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	1-0 HT 0-0	Frydek Mistek
13/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	2-0 HT 1-0	Slovacko II
10/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	0-1 HT 0-0	Frydek Mistek

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	12	8	2	2	26	14	26
2	SK Artis Brno B	11	7	4	0	20	4	25
3	FC Brno II	11	7	2	2	24	16	23
4	Frydek Mistek	12	6	3	3	19	13	21
5	SK Hranice	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
6	Sigma Olomouc B	12	6	1	5	20	16	19
7	Slovacko II	12	5	3	4	21	14	18
8	FK Hodonin	12	5	2	5	17	13	17
9	MFK Vitkovice	12	4	4	4	12	13	16
10	TJ Unie Hlubina	12	4	3	5	28	27	15
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	12	4	3	5	13	17	15
13	MFK Karvina B	12	4	2	6	19	21	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	12	4	2	6	13	24	14
15	FK Blansko	12	2	5	5	18	28	11
16	FC Vsetin	12	3	1	8	11	26	10
17	Polanka	12	2	3	7	11	17	9
18	MFK Havirov	12	1	5	6	9	20	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frydek Mistek	Slovacko II
SFK Vrchovina	4-2 W	3-1 W
MFK Karvina B	3-0 W	3-1 W
TJ Unie Hlubina	2-3 L	5-2 W
FC Vsetin	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Frydek Mistek (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frydek Mistek

WLWWDWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	11	4	L
03/10	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	8	5	W
27/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
19/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	1	5	W
05/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	1	D
02/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
28/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
22/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
15/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	15	3	W

Slovacko II

WDDWLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	5-2	3	3	W
03/10	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
25/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
18/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
13/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
05/09	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
02/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
30/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
23/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
16/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-2	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frydek Mistek vs Slovacko II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frydek Mistek win (53%). Probabilities: Frydek Mistek 53%, draw 24%, Slovacko II 23%.

How many goals are expected in Frydek Mistek vs Slovacko II?

The model expects 3 goals (Frydek Mistek 1.85 · Slovacko II 1.15), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Frydek Mistek vs Slovacko II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.