Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 25/10, 10:15

Prediction: MFK Karvina B vs SK Hranice

Team pages: MFK Karvina B · SK Hranice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

MFK Karvina B1.55

SK Hranice1.24

1X2

44% 25% 30%

MFK Karvina B Draw SK Hranice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Karvina B 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLDLWL

SK Hranice 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWDWW

Head-to-head

MFK Karvina B 2–2–0 SK Hranice (4 last)

SK Hranice0-0MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B1-1SK Hranice
MFK Karvina B3-0SK Hranice
SK Hranice1-4MFK Karvina B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Karvina B 1457 · SK Hranice 1566

	MFK Karvina B	Draw	SK Hranice
Our model	43%	27%	29%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Hranice (rating 1457 vs 1566).
H2H favours MFK Karvina B: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Karvina B	SK Hranice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4	3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:16 +9’	2.00	3.75	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Karvina B 2–2–0 SK Hranice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	0-0 HT 0-0	MFK Karvina B
26/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	1-1 HT 0-0	SK Hranice
09/06/24 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	3-0 HT 0-0	SK Hranice
07/11/23 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	1-4 HT 0-2	MFK Karvina B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Karvina B	SK Hranice
MFK Vitkovice	4-0 W	2-1 W
FC Trinity Zlin B	0-1 L	1-0 W
SK Artis Brno B	2-2 D	1-1 D
FK Blansko	3-5 L	3-1 W
Slovacko II	1-3 L	1-1 D
FK Hodonin	1-0 W	1-0 W
SFK Vrchovina	0-1 L	1-0 W
Polanka	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SK Hranice (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Karvina B

WLLWLLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	1	3	L
10/10	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	8	6	W
04/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
25/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	2	4	D
20/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	3-5	5	3	L
13/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
02/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
29/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
23/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	4	3	W

SK Hranice

WWLWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
11/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
02/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
26/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	8	6	W
18/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	0	D
12/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
05/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
02/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	5	5	L
30/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
21/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Karvina B vs SK Hranice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Karvina B win (44%). Probabilities: MFK Karvina B 44%, draw 25%, SK Hranice 30%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Karvina B vs SK Hranice?

The model expects 2.8 goals (MFK Karvina B 1.55 · SK Hranice 1.24), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Karvina B vs SK Hranice?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.