Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: Polanka vs Sigma Olomouc B

Team pages: Polanka · Sigma Olomouc B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Polanka1

Sigma Olomouc B1.92

1X2

19% 22% 59%

Polanka Draw Sigma Olomouc B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Polanka 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDWLWL

Sigma Olomouc B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWLWLW

Head-to-head

Polanka 0–2 Sigma Olomouc B (2 last)

Sigma Olomouc B3-0Polanka
Polanka0-3Sigma Olomouc B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polanka 1449 · Sigma Olomouc B 1493

	Polanka	Draw	Sigma Olomouc B
Our model	18%	24%	58%
Market	20%	21%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sigma Olomouc B (rating 1449 vs 1493).
H2H favours Sigma Olomouc B: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polanka	Sigma Olomouc B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.9	1.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.33

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
03:19 +8’	4.50	4.33	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polanka 0–0–2 Sigma Olomouc B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Sigma Olomouc B	3-0 HT 1-0	Polanka
31/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Polanka	0-3 HT 0-1	Sigma Olomouc B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polanka	Sigma Olomouc B
MFK Havirov	1-3 L	0-3 L
CSK Uhersky Brod	4-0 W	1-2 L
SK Unicov	1-3 L	1-1 D
Frydek Mistek	1-0 W	0-1 L
FK Blansko	1-1 D	3-0 W
MFK Karvina B	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polanka

LLDLLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	10	4	L
11/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	5	5	W
04/10	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
27/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
13/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
06/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	0	4	L
02/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
30/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
23/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	7	3	L

Sigma Olomouc B

WLLLDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
11/10	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	8	L
03/10	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	2	9	W
26/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
19/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
02/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
28/08	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
23/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polanka vs Sigma Olomouc B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sigma Olomouc B win (59%). Probabilities: Polanka 19%, draw 22%, Sigma Olomouc B 59%.

How many goals are expected in Polanka vs Sigma Olomouc B?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Polanka 1 · Sigma Olomouc B 1.92), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Polanka vs Sigma Olomouc B?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.