Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: Varnsdorf vs SK Sokol Brozany

Team pages: Varnsdorf · SK Sokol Brozany

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Varnsdorf2.16

SK Sokol Brozany0.92

1X2

66% 20% 14%

Varnsdorf Draw SK Sokol Brozany

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Varnsdorf 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLDDWL

SK Sokol Brozany 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDLDLL

Head-to-head

Varnsdorf 1–2–1 SK Sokol Brozany (4 last)

SK Sokol Brozany0-0Varnsdorf
Varnsdorf1-1SK Sokol Brozany
Varnsdorf0-2SK Sokol Brozany
SK Sokol Brozany1-3Varnsdorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Varnsdorf 1490 · SK Sokol Brozany 1448

	Varnsdorf	Draw	SK Sokol Brozany
Our model	65%	21%	14%
Market	66%	19%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Varnsdorf (rating 1490 vs 1448).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Varnsdorf	SK Sokol Brozany
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.3	1.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.75

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Pinn 1.43 ★
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:55 +4’	1.36	4.75	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:44 +153’	1.43	4.61	5.23

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Varnsdorf 1–2–1 SK Sokol Brozany

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Brozany	0-0 HT 0-0	Varnsdorf
07/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Varnsdorf	1-1 HT 1-0	SK Sokol Brozany
13/08/25 Czechia Cup	Varnsdorf	0-2 HT 0-0	SK Sokol Brozany
17/08/22 Czechia Cup	SK Sokol Brozany	1-3 HT 1-1	Varnsdorf

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	Frydek Mistek	14	8	3	3	24	14	27
4	FC Brno II	14	8	3	3	31	23	27
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	CSK Uhersky Brod	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
8	MFK Vitkovice	14	5	4	5	17	17	19
9	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
10	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
11	FK Hodonin	14	5	2	7	20	18	17
12	SFK Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	15	28	17
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
14	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
15	MFK Havirov	14	2	5	7	12	23	11
16	FK Blansko	14	2	5	7	18	32	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Varnsdorf	SK Sokol Brozany
Mladá Boleslav B	1-1 D	1-3 L
FK Jablonec B	0-2 L	1-3 L
SK Sokol Zapy	4-4 D	0-0 D
Velke Hamry	3-1 W	2-4 L
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	2-1 W	2-2 D
MFK Chrudim	1-3 L	1-1 D
Benatky Nad Jizerou	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Varnsdorf (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Varnsdorf

WLWWDLDDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
11/10	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	12	2	W
07/10	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
04/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	15	6	D
20/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
12/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-4	3	2	D
06/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	3	5	W
29/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
15/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
09/08	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

SK Sokol Brozany

LDDWLDLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	8	2	L
11/10	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	7	5	L
04/10	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
26/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-4	–	–	L
20/09	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
16/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
12/09	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	4	6	W
06/09	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
30/08	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/08	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	2-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Varnsdorf vs SK Sokol Brozany?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Varnsdorf win (66%). Probabilities: Varnsdorf 66%, draw 20%, SK Sokol Brozany 14%.

How many goals are expected in Varnsdorf vs SK Sokol Brozany?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Varnsdorf 2.16 · SK Sokol Brozany 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Varnsdorf vs SK Sokol Brozany?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.