Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: SK Sokol Zapy vs Pardubice B

Team pages: SK Sokol Zapy · Pardubice B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

SK Sokol Zapy2.13

Pardubice B1.47

1X2

52% 22% 26%

SK Sokol Zapy Draw Pardubice B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Sokol Zapy 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWWDLW

Pardubice B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWLWLW

Head-to-head

SK Sokol Zapy 6–0 Pardubice B (6 last)

SK Sokol Zapy4-0Pardubice B
Pardubice B1-2SK Sokol Zapy
Pardubice B0-1SK Sokol Zapy
SK Sokol Zapy2-0Pardubice B
SK Sokol Zapy6-0Pardubice B
Pardubice B1-3SK Sokol Zapy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Sokol Zapy 1555 · Pardubice B 1517

	SK Sokol Zapy	Draw	Pardubice B
Our model	52%	23%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SK Sokol Zapy: 6-0-0.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Sokol Zapy	Pardubice B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	2.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.6	3.1 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:21 +6’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sokol Zapy 6–0–0 Pardubice B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	4-0 HT 2-0	Pardubice B
21/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	1-2 HT 1-2	SK Sokol Zapy
15/03/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	0-1 HT 0-1	SK Sokol Zapy
11/09/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	2-0 HT 2-0	Pardubice B
19/05/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	6-0 HT 4-0	Pardubice B
22/10/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	1-3 HT 1-2	SK Sokol Zapy

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Sokol Zapy	Pardubice B
FK Teplice B	2-1 W	1-1 D
Zenit Caslav	2-3 L	7-0 W
SK Sokol Brozany	0-0 D	1-0 W
Banik Most-Sous	3-1 W	1-0 W
Hradec Kralove B	2-1 W	1-2 L
Slovan Liberec B	2-1 W	2-2 D
Velke Hamry	2-0 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Sokol Zapy (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Sokol Zapy

WDWDWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
11/10	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-3	12	1	L
04/10	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
27/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	2	9	W
20/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
16/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
12/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-4	8	2	D
05/09	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	4	3	W
30/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
15/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Pardubice B

LWWDDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	6-0	5	3	W
10/10	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
26/09	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
20/09	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	7	3	L
16/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
11/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	10	6	D
06/09	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
30/08	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	7-0	10	1	W
16/08	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Sokol Zapy vs Pardubice B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sokol Zapy win (52%). Probabilities: SK Sokol Zapy 52%, draw 22%, Pardubice B 26%.

How many goals are expected in SK Sokol Zapy vs Pardubice B?

The model expects 3.6 goals (SK Sokol Zapy 2.13 · Pardubice B 1.47), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Sokol Zapy vs Pardubice B?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.