Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 11/09, 17:00

Prediction: SK Batov vs FK Kozlovice

Team pages: SK Batov · FK Kozlovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

SK Batov1.06

FK Kozlovice2.15

1X2

17% 21% 62%

SK Batov Draw FK Kozlovice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Batov 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLLLLL

FK Kozlovice 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

SK Batov 0–1–5 FK Kozlovice (6 last)

FK Kozlovice3-1SK Batov
SK Batov0-0FK Kozlovice
SK Batov1-6FK Kozlovice
FK Kozlovice4-1SK Batov
FK Kozlovice2-0SK Batov
SK Batov1-2FK Kozlovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Batov 1443 · FK Kozlovice 1584

	SK Batov	Draw	FK Kozlovice
Our model	17%	22%	61%
Market	18%	20%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kozlovice (rating 1443 vs 1584).
H2H favours FK Kozlovice: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Batov	FK Kozlovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	2.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.4	3.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.50

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:19 +2’	5.00	4.50	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Batov 0–1–5 FK Kozlovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Kozlovice	3-1 HT 1-1	SK Batov
29/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Batov	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Kozlovice
11/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Batov	1-6 HT 0-2	FK Kozlovice
08/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Kozlovice	4-1 HT 2-1	SK Batov
21/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Kozlovice	2-0 HT 0-0	SK Batov
15/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Batov	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Kozlovice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	5	5	0	0	19	5	15
2	Kravare	5	5	0	0	16	4	15
3	FC Vratimov	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
4	Hlucin	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
5	Opava B	5	3	1	1	11	8	10
6	Jiskra Rymarov	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
7	FK Sumperk	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
8	SK Stonava	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
9	SK Zabreh	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
10	Pusta Polom	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
11	TJ Novy Jicin	5	2	1	2	8	11	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
13	Bridlicna	5	1	0	4	5	12	3
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	5	0	0	5	5	15	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	5	0	0	5	4	18	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Batov

WDWLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
29/08	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
15/08	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	0	L
12/06	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-2	3	2	W
06/06	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
30/05	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
22/05	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
09/05	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	1	5	W

FK Kozlovice

LWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-1	11	5	W
30/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
23/08	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
14/08	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	1	7	D
09/08	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-1	4	2	W
10/06	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
07/06	TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-1	6	4	W
03/06	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
31/05	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
23/05	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Batov vs FK Kozlovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Kozlovice win (62%). Probabilities: SK Batov 17%, draw 21%, FK Kozlovice 62%.

How many goals are expected in SK Batov vs FK Kozlovice?

The model expects 3.21 goals (SK Batov 1.06 · FK Kozlovice 2.15), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Batov vs FK Kozlovice?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.