Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 18/10, 10:15

Prediction: SK Unicov vs FK Hodonin

Team pages: SK Unicov · FK Hodonin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

SK Unicov1.65

FK Hodonin1.19

1X2

48% 25% 27%

SK Unicov Draw FK Hodonin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Unicov 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDWWWW

FK Hodonin 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

SK Unicov 2–1–3 FK Hodonin (6 last)

FK Hodonin3-1SK Unicov
SK Unicov1-2FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin0-2SK Unicov
SK Unicov0-0FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin2-1SK Unicov
SK Unicov5-1FK Hodonin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Unicov 1524 · FK Hodonin 1544

	SK Unicov	Draw	FK Hodonin
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Hodonin: 3-1-2.
High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Unicov	FK Hodonin
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	1.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 7.1	2.9 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.70

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 2.14 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:31 +7’	1.85	3.70	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:50 +167’	2.14	3.70	2.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Unicov 2–1–3 FK Hodonin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	3-1 HT 2-0	SK Unicov
19/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Hodonin
27/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	0-2 HT 0-2	SK Unicov
20/10/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Hodonin
13/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	2-1 HT 1-1	SK Unicov
10/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	5-1 HT 2-0	FK Hodonin

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	12	7	5	0	21	5	26
2	SK Unicov	12	8	2	2	26	14	26
3	FC Brno II	12	7	3	2	25	17	24
4	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
5	Frydek Mistek	12	6	3	3	19	13	21
6	Sigma Olomouc B	12	6	1	5	20	16	19
7	Slovacko II	12	5	3	4	21	14	18
8	FK Hodonin	12	5	2	5	17	13	17
9	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
10	TJ Unie Hlubina	12	4	3	5	28	27	15
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	12	4	3	5	13	17	15
13	MFK Karvina B	12	4	2	6	19	21	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	12	4	2	6	13	24	14
15	FK Blansko	12	2	5	5	18	28	11
16	FC Vsetin	12	3	1	8	11	26	10
17	Polanka	12	2	3	7	11	17	9
18	MFK Havirov	12	1	5	6	9	20	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Unicov	FK Hodonin
Sigma Olomouc B	1-1 D	2-0 W
Frydek Mistek	1-1 D	3-0 W
MFK Vitkovice	1-3 L	0-2 L
TJ Unie Hlubina	3-0 W	4-1 W
FC Vsetin	2-1 W	2-0 W
FC Brno II	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Hodonin (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Unicov

LWWLDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
04/10	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	3	W
27/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	11	1	W
20/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	3-2	4-3	11	6	W
13/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
05/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
02/09	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	7	L
30/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
22/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	11	2	W
16/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	5	L

FK Hodonin

LDLWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
03/10	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-1	9	7	W
26/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	7	W
20/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
06/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
02/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	0	3	W
29/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
23/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
15/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Unicov vs FK Hodonin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Unicov win (48%). Probabilities: SK Unicov 48%, draw 25%, FK Hodonin 27%.

How many goals are expected in SK Unicov vs FK Hodonin?

The model expects 2.84 goals (SK Unicov 1.65 · FK Hodonin 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Unicov vs FK Hodonin?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.