Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 27/09, 15:30

Prediction: Polanka vs Frydek Mistek

Team pages: Polanka · Frydek Mistek

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Polanka0.79
Frydek Mistek1.67
1X2
17% 25% 58%
Polanka Draw Frydek Mistek
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Polanka 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LLLDLLDLLD
Frydek Mistek 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWDWLWWDWD
Head-to-head
Polanka 1–2 Frydek Mistek (3 last)
  • Polanka0-1Frydek Mistek
  • Frydek Mistek0-2Polanka
  • Frydek Mistek3-1Polanka
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polanka 1435 · Frydek Mistek 1553
PolankaDrawFrydek Mistek
Our model16%26%57%
Market18%23%59%
Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frydek Mistek (rating 1435 vs 1553).
  • H2H favours Frydek Mistek: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PolankaFrydek Mistek
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.61.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 10.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.24 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 03.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Polanka 1–0–2 Frydek Mistek

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Czechia 3. Liga
Polanka0-1
HT 0-0
Frydek Mistek
08/10/25
Czechia 3. Liga
Frydek Mistek0-2
HT 0-0
Polanka
10/06/20
Europe Friendlies
Frydek Mistek3-1
HT 1-0
Polanka

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 SK Artis Brno B 10730 19324
2 FC Brno II 10712 231522
3 Frydek Mistek 9531 15718
4 SK Unicov 9522 171317
5 Sigma Olomouc B 9513 171016
6 MFK Vitkovice 10442 11716
7 TJ Unie Hlubina 9432 231515
8 Slovacko II 10433 161115
9 SK Hranice 9414 11813
10 FC Trinity Zlin B 10334 121612
11 CSK Uhersky Brod 9324 141511
12 MFK Karvina B 10325 152011
13 SFK Vrchovina 9324 81411
14 FK Hodonin 9225 8128
15 FK Blansko 9144 14247
16 FC Vsetin 9216 10227
17 MFK Havirov 9045 4164
18 Polanka 9036 5143

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPolankaFrydek Mistek
TJ Unie Hlubina 1-1 D 2-3 L
FC Vsetin 0-3 L 2-0 W
FC Brno II 1-3 L 2-2 D
SK Hranice 0-1 L 1-0 W
MFK Karvina B 1-2 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Frydek Mistek (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polanka

LLLDLLDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 TJ Unie Hlubina
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 1-1 26 D
13/09 FC Vsetin
Czechia 3. Liga
0-2 0-3 81 L
06/09 FC Brno II
Czechia 3. Liga
1-1 1-3 04 L
02/09 FK Blansko
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 1-1 33 D
30/08 SK Hranice
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 0-1 56 L
23/08 MFK Karvina B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-2 1-2 73 L
16/08 MFK Vitkovice
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 0-0 78 D
09/08 FC Trinity Zlin B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-2 1-2 24 L
02/08 SK Artis Brno B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 0-1 32 L
10/06 FC Trinity Zlin B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 51 L

Frydek Mistek

DWDWLWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 MFK Havirov
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 0-0 –– D
12/09 CSK Uhersky Brod
Czechia 3. Liga
2-1 3-1 15 W
05/09 SK Unicov
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 1-1 101 D
02/09 MFK Karvina B
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 3-0 72 W
28/08 Sigma Olomouc B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 1-0 32 W
22/08 TJ Unie Hlubina
Czechia 3. Liga
0-2 2-3 84 L
15/08 FC Vsetin
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 2-0 153 W
09/08 FC Brno II
Czechia 3. Liga
2-0 2-2 43 D
31/07 SK Hranice
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 1-0 08 W
12/06 TJ Unie Hlubina
Czechia 3. Liga
0-2 2-2 53 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polanka vs Frydek Mistek?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Frydek Mistek win (58%). Probabilities: Polanka 17%, draw 25%, Frydek Mistek 58%.

How many goals are expected in Polanka vs Frydek Mistek?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Polanka 0.79 · Frydek Mistek 1.67), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Polanka vs Frydek Mistek?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.