Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 07/10, 11:00

Prediction: Mladá Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf

Team pages: Mladá Boleslav B · Varnsdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Mladá Boleslav B1.83

Varnsdorf1.4

1X2

48% 23% 29%

Mladá Boleslav B Draw Varnsdorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Mladá Boleslav B 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLDWW

Varnsdorf 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWDLD

Head-to-head

Mladá Boleslav B 0–2–3 Varnsdorf (5 last)

Varnsdorf2-0Mladá Boleslav B
Mladá Boleslav B1-1Varnsdorf
Mladá Boleslav B0-5Varnsdorf
Mladá Boleslav B1-2Varnsdorf
Mladá Boleslav B2-2Varnsdorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mladá Boleslav B 1539 · Varnsdorf 1501

	Mladá Boleslav B	Draw	Varnsdorf
Our model	47%	25%	28%
Market	48%	22%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Varnsdorf: 3-2-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mladá Boleslav B	Varnsdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.1	2.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X4.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 09:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.85▼	Bet365 1.85
X	3.90 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	2.90 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.41 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:41 +3’	1.95	3.90	2.90
21:12 +5’	1.85▼	4.00▲	3.10▲
09:01 +7’	1.85	4.10▲	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:11 +9’	1.87	3.68	3.35
11:32 +137’	1.86▼	3.72▲	3.35
09:05 +3’	1.83▼	3.96▲	3.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mladá Boleslav B 0–2–3 Varnsdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Varnsdorf	2-0 HT 0-0	Mladá Boleslav B
26/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	1-1 HT 0-0	Varnsdorf
22/01/25 Europe Friendlies	Mladá Boleslav B	0-5 HT 0-3	Varnsdorf
15/02/23 Europe Friendlies	Mladá Boleslav B	1-2 HT 0-1	Varnsdorf
29/01/20 Europe Friendlies	Mladá Boleslav B	2-2 HT 1-1	Varnsdorf

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	11	7	4	0	20	4	25
2	FC Brno II	11	7	2	2	24	16	23
3	SK Unicov	11	7	2	2	22	14	23
4	Frydek Mistek	11	6	3	2	19	10	21
5	Sigma Olomouc B	11	6	1	4	20	13	19
6	SK Hranice	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
7	MFK Vitkovice	11	4	4	3	12	9	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	11	4	3	4	26	22	15
9	Slovacko II	11	4	3	4	16	12	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	11	4	3	4	18	18	15
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	11	4	3	4	13	16	15
12	FK Hodonin	11	4	2	5	14	13	14
13	SFK Vrchovina	11	4	2	5	13	20	14
14	MFK Karvina B	11	3	2	6	15	21	11
15	FC Vsetin	11	3	1	7	11	24	10
16	FK Blansko	11	1	5	5	16	28	8
17	Polanka	11	1	3	7	7	17	6
18	MFK Havirov	11	0	5	6	6	20	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mladá Boleslav B	Varnsdorf
Hradec Kralove B	1-0 W	5-0 W
Slovan Liberec B	2-1 W	1-1 D
FK Jablonec B	2-2 D	0-2 L
SK Sokol Zapy	2-3 L	4-4 D
Velke Hamry	3-0 W	3-1 W
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	1-2 L	2-1 W
MFK Chrudim	6-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mladá Boleslav B (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mladá Boleslav B

LWWWLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
20/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
13/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
05/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
29/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
22/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	–	–	W
08/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	5-1	6-1	–	–	W
06/06	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
30/05	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	10	5	L

Varnsdorf

WLWWLWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	15	6	D
20/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
12/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-4	3	2	D
06/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	3	5	W
29/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
15/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
09/08	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
07/06	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	5-0	4	1	W
30/05	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
24/05	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mladá Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mladá Boleslav B win (48%). Probabilities: Mladá Boleslav B 48%, draw 23%, Varnsdorf 29%.

How many goals are expected in Mladá Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Mladá Boleslav B 1.83 · Varnsdorf 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mladá Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.