Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 04/10, 10:30

Prediction: Viktoria Plzen B vs Dukla Praha B

Team pages: Viktoria Plzen B · Dukla Praha B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

Viktoria Plzen B2.26

Dukla Praha B1.26

1X2

59% 21% 20%

Viktoria Plzen B Draw Dukla Praha B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Viktoria Plzen B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWLWWL

Dukla Praha B 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDLDDD

Head-to-head

Viktoria Plzen B 2–3–1 Dukla Praha B (6 last)

Viktoria Plzen B5-1Dukla Praha B
Dukla Praha B1-2Viktoria Plzen B
Viktoria Plzen B1-1Dukla Praha B
Dukla Praha B2-0Viktoria Plzen B
Viktoria Plzen B3-3Dukla Praha B
Dukla Praha B2-2Viktoria Plzen B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viktoria Plzen B 1517 · Dukla Praha B 1464

	Viktoria Plzen B	Draw	Dukla Praha B
Our model	59%	21%	19%
Market	60%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viktoria Plzen B (rating 1517 vs 1464).
H2H favours Viktoria Plzen B: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viktoria Plzen B	Dukla Praha B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.8	3.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
06:30 +4’	1.50	4.33	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktoria Plzen B 2–3–1 Dukla Praha B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Viktoria Plzen B	5-1 HT 2-1	Dukla Praha B
24/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Dukla Praha B	1-2 HT 1-1	Viktoria Plzen B
04/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Viktoria Plzen B	1-1 HT 0-0	Dukla Praha B
28/08/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Dukla Praha B	2-0 HT 1-0	Viktoria Plzen B
08/06/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Viktoria Plzen B	3-3 HT 2-0	Dukla Praha B
12/11/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Dukla Praha B	2-2 HT 0-1	Viktoria Plzen B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	10	7	3	0	19	3	24
2	FC Brno II	10	7	1	2	23	15	22
3	SK Unicov	10	6	2	2	19	13	20
4	Frydek Mistek	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
5	Sigma Olomouc B	10	5	1	4	18	12	16
6	SK Hranice	10	5	1	4	14	9	16
7	MFK Vitkovice	10	4	4	2	11	7	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	10	4	3	3	25	18	15
9	Slovacko II	10	4	3	3	16	11	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	10	4	2	4	16	16	14
11	SFK Vrchovina	10	4	2	4	11	16	14
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	10	3	3	4	12	16	12
13	FK Hodonin	10	3	2	5	10	12	11
14	MFK Karvina B	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
15	FK Blansko	10	1	4	5	15	27	7
16	FC Vsetin	10	2	1	7	10	24	7
17	Polanka	10	1	3	6	6	14	6
18	MFK Havirov	10	0	4	6	4	18	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viktoria Plzen B	Dukla Praha B
Bohemians 1905 B	0-3 L	2-2 D
FK Pribram B	3-1 W	0-0 D
FK Admira Praha	1-0 W	1-1 D
Ceske Budejovice	2-4 L	2-2 D
Slavia Prague U20	4-1 W	2-1 W
Motorlet Praha	1-0 W	1-2 L
Kraluv Dvur	2-2 D	1-3 L
FK Loko Praha	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Viktoria Plzen B (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viktoria Plzen B

LLWDWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
13/09	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	4	4	W
06/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
30/08	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	4	8	L
22/08	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
16/08	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
08/08	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/06	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	1	W
30/05	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-5	7	6	L
24/05	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	7	6	L

Dukla Praha B

DLLLWDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
19/09	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
13/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
09/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
04/09	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
30/08	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	9	3	W
16/08	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
08/08	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/06	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	6	0	L
30/05	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	9	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viktoria Plzen B vs Dukla Praha B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viktoria Plzen B win (59%). Probabilities: Viktoria Plzen B 59%, draw 21%, Dukla Praha B 20%.

How many goals are expected in Viktoria Plzen B vs Dukla Praha B?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Viktoria Plzen B 2.26 · Dukla Praha B 1.26), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Viktoria Plzen B vs Dukla Praha B?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.