Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 04/10, 16:00

Prediction: SK Sokol Brozany vs SK Sokol Zapy

Team pages: SK Sokol Brozany · SK Sokol Zapy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

SK Sokol Brozany1.15

SK Sokol Zapy2.09

1X2

20% 22% 58%

SK Sokol Brozany Draw SK Sokol Zapy

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Sokol Brozany 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLDDWLDL

SK Sokol Zapy 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWDWWW

Head-to-head

SK Sokol Brozany 4–2 SK Sokol Zapy (6 last)

SK Sokol Brozany1-0SK Sokol Zapy
SK Sokol Zapy3-1SK Sokol Brozany
SK Sokol Zapy2-3SK Sokol Brozany
SK Sokol Brozany3-0SK Sokol Zapy
SK Sokol Zapy2-3SK Sokol Brozany
SK Sokol Brozany0-2SK Sokol Zapy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Sokol Brozany 1480 · SK Sokol Zapy 1588

	SK Sokol Brozany	Draw	SK Sokol Zapy
Our model	19%	23%	58%
Market	20%	21%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sokol Zapy (rating 1480 vs 1588).
H2H favours SK Sokol Brozany: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Sokol Brozany	SK Sokol Zapy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	2.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4.4	3.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.20

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.90

2 (-1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:46 +50’	4.50	4.20	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sokol Brozany 4–0–2 SK Sokol Zapy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Brozany	1-0 HT 1-0	SK Sokol Zapy
05/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	3-1 HT 3-0	SK Sokol Brozany
06/04/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	2-3 HT 1-2	SK Sokol Brozany
08/09/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Brozany	3-0 HT 2-0	SK Sokol Zapy
30/03/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	2-3 HT 0-1	SK Sokol Brozany
03/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Brozany	0-2 HT 0-1	SK Sokol Zapy

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	10	7	3	0	19	3	24
2	FC Brno II	10	7	1	2	23	15	22
3	SK Unicov	10	6	2	2	19	13	20
4	Frydek Mistek	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
5	Sigma Olomouc B	10	5	1	4	18	12	16
6	SK Hranice	10	5	1	4	14	9	16
7	MFK Vitkovice	10	4	4	2	11	7	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	10	4	3	3	25	18	15
9	Slovacko II	10	4	3	3	16	11	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	10	4	2	4	16	16	14
11	SFK Vrchovina	10	4	2	4	11	16	14
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	10	3	3	4	12	16	12
13	FK Hodonin	10	3	2	5	10	12	11
14	MFK Karvina B	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
15	FK Blansko	10	1	4	5	15	27	7
16	FC Vsetin	10	2	1	7	10	24	7
17	Polanka	10	1	3	6	6	14	6
18	MFK Havirov	10	0	4	6	4	18	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Sokol Brozany	SK Sokol Zapy
Velke Hamry	2-4 L	2-0 W
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	2-2 D	6-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SK Sokol Zapy (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Sokol Brozany

DWDLDDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-4	–	–	L
20/09	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
16/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
12/09	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	4	6	W
06/09	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
30/08	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/08	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	2-5	4	4	L
09/08	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
06/06	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
31/05	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	4	4	D

SK Sokol Zapy

DWWWDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	2	9	W
20/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
16/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
12/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-4	8	2	D
05/09	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	4	3	W
30/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
15/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
09/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	–	–	W
06/06	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	7	1	W
30/05	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	9	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Sokol Brozany vs SK Sokol Zapy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Sokol Zapy win (58%). Probabilities: SK Sokol Brozany 20%, draw 22%, SK Sokol Zapy 58%.

How many goals are expected in SK Sokol Brozany vs SK Sokol Zapy?

The model expects 3.24 goals (SK Sokol Brozany 1.15 · SK Sokol Zapy 2.09), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Sokol Brozany vs SK Sokol Zapy?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.