Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 18/10, 10:15

Prediction: FC Brno II vs FC Trinity Zlin B

Team pages: FC Brno II · FC Trinity Zlin B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

FC Brno II2.1

FC Trinity Zlin B1.03

1X2

62% 21% 17%

FC Brno II Draw FC Trinity Zlin B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Brno II 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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FC Trinity Zlin B 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Brno II 2–1–2 FC Trinity Zlin B (5 last)

FC Trinity Zlin B2-1FC Brno II
FC Brno II3-0FC Trinity Zlin B
FC Brno II3-0FC Trinity Zlin B
FC Trinity Zlin B2-1FC Brno II
FC Brno II2-2FC Trinity Zlin B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Brno II 1572 · FC Trinity Zlin B 1461

	FC Brno II	Draw	FC Trinity Zlin B
Our model	61%	22%	17%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Brno II (rating 1572 vs 1461).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Brno II	FC Trinity Zlin B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.7	1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.1	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Pinn 1.50 ★
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:11 +27’	1.44	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +153’	1.50	4.37	4.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Brno II 2–1–2 FC Trinity Zlin B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Trinity Zlin B	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Brno II
19/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Brno II	3-0 HT 3-0	FC Trinity Zlin B
14/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Brno II	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Trinity Zlin B
09/11/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Trinity Zlin B	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Brno II
22/02/20 Europe Friendlies	FC Brno II	2-2 HT 0-1	FC Trinity Zlin B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	12	8	2	2	26	14	26
3	FC Brno II	12	7	3	2	25	17	24
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	12	6	1	5	20	16	19
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	12	5	2	5	17	13	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	12	4	3	5	13	17	15
13	MFK Karvina B	12	4	2	6	19	21	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
16	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
17	Polanka	12	2	3	7	11	17	9
18	MFK Havirov	12	1	5	6	9	20	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Brno II	FC Trinity Zlin B
SK Artis Brno B	1-1 D	1-4 L
FK Blansko	1-1 D	4-1 W
Slovacko II	1-0 W	1-1 D
FK Hodonin	0-1 L	1-1 D
SFK Vrchovina	3-0 W	0-1 L
CSK Uhersky Brod	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Brno II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Brno II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/10	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
25/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
20/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	2	9	W
06/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	1	4	W
02/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	5-0	3	4	W
30/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	8	5	W
23/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
16/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	5	W

FC Trinity Zlin B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
04/10	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
25/09	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
19/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
13/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	3	5	L
06/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-1	3	2	W
02/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
30/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
23/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
15/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	8	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Brno II vs FC Trinity Zlin B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Brno II win (62%). Probabilities: FC Brno II 62%, draw 21%, FC Trinity Zlin B 17%.

How many goals are expected in FC Brno II vs FC Trinity Zlin B?

The model expects 3.12 goals (FC Brno II 2.1 · FC Trinity Zlin B 1.03), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Brno II vs FC Trinity Zlin B?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.