Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: FC Vsetin vs MFK Vitkovice

Team pages: FC Vsetin · MFK Vitkovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

FC Vsetin1.15

MFK Vitkovice1.47

1X2

29% 27% 44%

FC Vsetin Draw MFK Vitkovice

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vsetin 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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MFK Vitkovice 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Vsetin 2–0 MFK Vitkovice (2 last)

MFK Vitkovice0-3FC Vsetin
FC Vsetin3-1MFK Vitkovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vsetin 1452 · MFK Vitkovice 1491

	FC Vsetin	Draw	MFK Vitkovice
Our model	28%	28%	43%
Market	30%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Vsetin: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vsetin	MFK Vitkovice
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.1	2.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.50

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.36 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.58
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:07 +26’	3.00	3.50	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:20 +13’	3.36	3.58	1.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vsetin 2–0–0 MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	0-3 HT 1-0	FC Vsetin
06/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Vsetin	3-1 HT 2-0	MFK Vitkovice

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	14	10	2	2	31	17	32
2	SK Artis Brno B	14	8	5	1	23	7	29
3	Frydek Mistek	14	8	3	3	24	14	27
4	FC Brno II	14	8	3	3	31	23	27
5	Sigma Olomouc B	14	8	1	5	28	17	25
6	SK Hranice	14	7	2	5	18	13	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	14	6	3	5	31	28	21
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
9	MFK Vitkovice	14	5	4	5	17	17	19
10	Slovacko II	14	5	3	6	23	18	18
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	14	5	3	6	17	21	18
12	FK Hodonin	14	5	2	7	20	18	17
13	MFK Karvina B	14	5	2	7	22	24	17
14	SFK Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	15	28	17
15	MFK Havirov	14	2	5	7	12	23	11
16	FK Blansko	14	2	5	7	18	32	11
17	FC Vsetin	14	3	1	10	11	29	10
18	Polanka	14	2	3	9	12	25	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vsetin	MFK Vitkovice
FC Trinity Zlin B	0-2 L	3-0 W
SK Artis Brno B	0-1 L	0-0 D
FK Blansko	0-2 L	0-0 D
Slovacko II	1-0 W	1-0 W
FK Hodonin	0-2 L	2-0 W
FC Brno II	0-5 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Vitkovice (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vsetin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
17/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
10/10	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
03/10	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
26/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	7	L
19/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
13/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
05/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
02/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	0-5	4	4	L
29/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	2	3	L

MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-2	8	0	W
16/10	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
10/10	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	4	6	L
03/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	8	9	L
25/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
20/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
05/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
02/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
29/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vsetin vs MFK Vitkovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MFK Vitkovice win (44%). Probabilities: FC Vsetin 29%, draw 27%, MFK Vitkovice 44%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vsetin vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model expects 2.63 goals (FC Vsetin 1.15 · MFK Vitkovice 1.47), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vsetin vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.