Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Varnsdorf vs FK Teplice B

Team pages: Varnsdorf · FK Teplice B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Varnsdorf2.01

FK Teplice B1.37

1X2

52% 23% 25%

Varnsdorf Draw FK Teplice B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Varnsdorf 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDDWLWLD

FK Teplice B 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Varnsdorf 1–1 FK Teplice B (2 last)

FK Teplice B0-1Varnsdorf
Varnsdorf1-2FK Teplice B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Varnsdorf 1482 · FK Teplice B 1423

	Varnsdorf	Draw	FK Teplice B
Our model	51%	23%	25%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Varnsdorf (rating 1482 vs 1423).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Varnsdorf	FK Teplice B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.3	1.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.02
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.74 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
03:22 +12’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:30 +65’	1.71	4.02	3.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Varnsdorf 1–0–1 FK Teplice B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Teplice B	0-1 HT 0-1	Varnsdorf
10/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Varnsdorf	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Teplice B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
2	Frydek Mistek	15	9	3	3	27	14	30
2	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
4	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
5	Sigma Olomouc B	15	9	1	5	33	18	28
6	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	15	6	4	5	33	30	22
8	MFK Vitkovice	15	6	4	5	21	18	22
9	Slovacko II	15	6	3	6	25	19	21
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	15	6	3	6	25	25	21
11	FK Hodonin	15	6	2	7	21	18	20
12	MFK Karvina B	15	6	2	7	25	25	20
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	SFK Vrchovina	15	5	2	8	17	32	17
15	FK Blansko	15	3	5	7	21	33	14
16	Polanka	15	3	3	9	16	27	12
17	MFK Havirov	15	2	5	8	12	24	11
18	FC Vsetin	15	3	1	11	12	33	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Varnsdorf	FK Teplice B
FK Horni Redice	1-3 L	1-4 L
Mladá Boleslav B	1-1 D	1-4 L
Slovan Liberec B	1-1 D	4-0 W
FK Jablonec B	0-2 L	1-4 L
SK Sokol Zapy	4-4 D	1-2 L
Velke Hamry	3-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Varnsdorf (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Varnsdorf

WDLDDWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
28/10	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	6	5	L
25/10	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	3-2	6	6	W
17/10	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
11/10	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	12	2	W
07/10	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
04/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	15	6	D
20/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
12/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-4	3	2	D
06/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	3	5	W

FK Teplice B

WDLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-4	5	6	L
25/10	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	10	4	L
18/10	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	1	4	L
10/10	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
04/10	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
26/09	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	3	5	L
20/09	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-1	4	4	W
12/09	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
06/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
29/08	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Varnsdorf vs FK Teplice B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Varnsdorf win (52%). Probabilities: Varnsdorf 52%, draw 23%, FK Teplice B 25%.

How many goals are expected in Varnsdorf vs FK Teplice B?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Varnsdorf 2.01 · FK Teplice B 1.37), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Varnsdorf vs FK Teplice B?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.