Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 08/11, 10:30

Prediction: FC Trinity Zlin B vs Frydek Mistek

Team pages: FC Trinity Zlin B · Frydek Mistek

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

FC Trinity Zlin B1.37

Frydek Mistek1.66

1X2

31% 25% 44%

FC Trinity Zlin B Draw Frydek Mistek

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Trinity Zlin B 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWLLWD

Frydek Mistek 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWLWWW

Head-to-head

FC Trinity Zlin B 1–3–2 Frydek Mistek (6 last)

Frydek Mistek2-2FC Trinity Zlin B
FC Trinity Zlin B1-1Frydek Mistek
FC Trinity Zlin B4-4Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek2-1FC Trinity Zlin B
Frydek Mistek1-0FC Trinity Zlin B
FC Trinity Zlin B3-0Frydek Mistek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Trinity Zlin B 1474 · Frydek Mistek 1557

	FC Trinity Zlin B	Draw	Frydek Mistek
Our model	31%	26%	43%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frydek Mistek (rating 1474 vs 1557).
H2H favours Frydek Mistek: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Trinity Zlin B	Frydek Mistek
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.8	4 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.88▲	Pinn 3.13 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:18 +12’	2.60	3.60	2.20
15:06 +53’	2.88▲	3.60	2.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:58 +32’	3.13	3.54	2.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Trinity Zlin B 1–3–2 Frydek Mistek

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	2-2 HT 1-0	FC Trinity Zlin B
10/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Trinity Zlin B	1-1 HT 0-1	Frydek Mistek
04/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Trinity Zlin B	4-4 HT 4-1	Frydek Mistek
29/09/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Trinity Zlin B
27/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Trinity Zlin B
24/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Trinity Zlin B	3-0 HT 1-0	Frydek Mistek

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
2	Frydek Mistek	15	9	3	3	27	14	30
2	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
4	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
5	Sigma Olomouc B	15	9	1	5	33	18	28
6	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	15	6	4	5	33	30	22
8	MFK Vitkovice	15	6	4	5	21	18	22
9	Slovacko II	15	6	3	6	25	19	21
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	15	6	3	6	25	25	21
11	FK Hodonin	15	6	2	7	21	18	20
12	MFK Karvina B	15	6	2	7	25	25	20
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	SFK Vrchovina	15	5	2	8	17	32	17
15	FK Blansko	15	3	5	7	21	33	14
16	Polanka	15	3	3	9	16	27	12
17	MFK Havirov	15	2	5	8	12	24	11
18	FC Vsetin	15	3	1	11	12	33	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Trinity Zlin B	Frydek Mistek
MFK Karvina B	1-0 W	3-0 W
SK Artis Brno B	1-4 L	3-0 W
FK Blansko	4-1 W	3-0 W
CSK Uhersky Brod	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Frydek Mistek (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Trinity Zlin B

DWLLLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	7	D
25/10	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
18/10	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-4	6	1	L
11/10	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
04/10	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
25/09	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
19/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
13/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	3	5	L
06/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-1	3	2	W
02/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	5	4	D

Frydek Mistek

WDWDLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	3	7	W
24/10	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	6	4	W
17/10	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	14	2	W
10/10	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	11	4	L
03/10	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	8	5	W
27/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
19/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	1	5	W
05/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	1	D
02/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Trinity Zlin B vs Frydek Mistek?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Frydek Mistek win (44%). Probabilities: FC Trinity Zlin B 31%, draw 25%, Frydek Mistek 44%.

How many goals are expected in FC Trinity Zlin B vs Frydek Mistek?

The model expects 3.03 goals (FC Trinity Zlin B 1.37 · Frydek Mistek 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Trinity Zlin B vs Frydek Mistek?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.