Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 08/11, 10:15

Prediction: Sparta Prague B vs Aritma Praha

Team pages: Sparta Prague B · Aritma Praha

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Sparta Prague B2.54

Aritma Praha0.78

1X2

76% 15% 9%

Sparta Prague B Draw Aritma Praha

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sparta Prague B 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWDLDL

Aritma Praha 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWDDLDL

Head-to-head

Sparta Prague B 0–1–0 Aritma Praha (1 last)

Sparta Prague B0-0Aritma Praha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sparta Prague B 1520 · Aritma Praha 1433

	Sparta Prague B	Draw	Aritma Praha
Our model	75%	17%	9%
Market	76%	14%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Prague B (rating 1520 vs 1433).
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sparta Prague B	Aritma Praha
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	1 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	1.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.50

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.80

2 (+2)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Pinn 1.22 ★
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:06 +23’	1.18	6.50	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:45 +45’	1.22	6.18	8.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Prague B 0–1–0 Aritma Praha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/12/25 Europe Friendlies	Sparta Prague B	0-0 HT 0-0	Aritma Praha

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
2	Frydek Mistek	15	9	3	3	27	14	30
2	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
4	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
5	Sigma Olomouc B	15	9	1	5	33	18	28
6	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	15	6	4	5	33	30	22
8	MFK Vitkovice	15	6	4	5	21	18	22
9	Slovacko II	15	6	3	6	25	19	21
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	15	6	3	6	25	25	21
11	FK Hodonin	15	6	2	7	21	18	20
12	MFK Karvina B	15	6	2	7	25	25	20
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	SFK Vrchovina	15	5	2	8	17	32	17
15	FK Blansko	15	3	5	7	21	33	14
16	Polanka	15	3	3	9	16	27	12
17	MFK Havirov	15	2	5	8	12	24	11
18	FC Vsetin	15	3	1	11	12	33	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sparta Prague B	Aritma Praha
Viktoria Plzen B	1-3 L	0-3 L
Kraluv Dvur	1-1 D	0-2 L
FC Pisek	0-1 L	2-4 L
Motorlet Praha	1-1 D	0-4 L
Dukla Praha B	2-1 W	0-0 D
Bohemians 1905 B	4-1 W	3-3 D
FK Pribram B	4-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sparta Prague B (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sparta Prague B

WDDWWWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/11	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	4	7	L
28/10	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
25/10	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
17/10	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
11/10	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
19/09	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	4	2	W
13/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-1	6	2	W
06/09	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
02/09	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
30/08	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	5	1	W

Aritma Praha

LLLLWDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	5	L
24/10	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
18/10	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
10/10	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	5	8	D
03/10	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
26/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	8	3	W
19/09	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-7	1	1	L
12/09	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	10	4	L
05/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	10	5	L
29/08	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sparta Prague B vs Aritma Praha?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Prague B win (76%). Probabilities: Sparta Prague B 76%, draw 15%, Aritma Praha 9%.

How many goals are expected in Sparta Prague B vs Aritma Praha?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Sparta Prague B 2.54 · Aritma Praha 0.78), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sparta Prague B vs Aritma Praha?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.