Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: SK Sokol Zapy vs MFK Chrudim

Team pages: SK Sokol Zapy · MFK Chrudim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

SK Sokol Zapy2.66

MFK Chrudim1.03

1X2

72% 17% 12%

SK Sokol Zapy Draw MFK Chrudim

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Sokol Zapy 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDLWLD

MFK Chrudim 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLDWWLW

Head-to-head

SK Sokol Zapy 2–2–1 MFK Chrudim (5 last)

SK Sokol Zapy2-1MFK Chrudim
SK Sokol Zapy0-0MFK Chrudim
MFK Chrudim2-0SK Sokol Zapy
SK Sokol Zapy1-1MFK Chrudim
MFK Chrudim1-3SK Sokol Zapy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Sokol Zapy 1523 · MFK Chrudim 1486

	SK Sokol Zapy	Draw	MFK Chrudim
Our model	71%	17%	12%
Market	72%	16%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SK Sokol Zapy: 2-2-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Sokol Zapy	MFK Chrudim
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 7.1	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.50

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.85

2 (+1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Pinn 1.28
X	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 5.64 ★
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:27 +7’	1.25	5.50	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:30 +65’	1.28	5.64	7.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sokol Zapy 2–2–1 MFK Chrudim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/09/22 Czechia Cup	SK Sokol Zapy	2-1 HT 2-1	MFK Chrudim
11/04/18 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	0-0 HT 0-0	MFK Chrudim
19/08/17 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Chrudim	2-0 HT 1-0	SK Sokol Zapy
19/03/17 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	1-1 HT 1-1	MFK Chrudim
20/08/16 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Chrudim	1-3 HT 1-2	SK Sokol Zapy

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
2	Frydek Mistek	15	9	3	3	27	14	30
2	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
4	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
5	Sigma Olomouc B	15	9	1	5	33	18	28
6	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	15	6	4	5	33	30	22
8	MFK Vitkovice	15	6	4	5	21	18	22
9	Slovacko II	15	6	3	6	25	19	21
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	15	6	3	6	25	25	21
11	FK Hodonin	15	6	2	7	21	18	20
12	MFK Karvina B	15	6	2	7	25	25	20
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	SFK Vrchovina	15	5	2	8	17	32	17
15	FK Blansko	15	3	5	7	21	33	14
16	Polanka	15	3	3	9	16	27	12
17	MFK Havirov	15	2	5	8	12	24	11
18	FC Vsetin	15	3	1	11	12	33	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Sokol Zapy	MFK Chrudim
Benatky Nad Jizerou	0-0 D	3-3 D
Pardubice B	0-4 L	0-1 L
FK Teplice B	2-1 W	1-4 L
Zenit Caslav	2-3 L	2-2 D
SK Sokol Brozany	0-0 D	1-1 D
Banik Most-Sous	3-1 W	1-2 L
Slovan Liberec B	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Chrudim (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Sokol Zapy

WDWWWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
25/10	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	8	0	L
18/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
11/10	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-3	12	1	L
04/10	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
27/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	2	9	W
20/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
16/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
12/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-4	8	2	D
05/09	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	4	3	W

MFK Chrudim

LDDLLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
24/10	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-6	5	2	L
17/10	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
10/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	6	3	W
04/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-3	2	4	D
26/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
20/09	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-4	5	4	L
12/09	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	5	6	D
06/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
29/08	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Sokol Zapy vs MFK Chrudim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sokol Zapy win (72%). Probabilities: SK Sokol Zapy 72%, draw 17%, MFK Chrudim 12%.

How many goals are expected in SK Sokol Zapy vs MFK Chrudim?

The model expects 3.69 goals (SK Sokol Zapy 2.66 · MFK Chrudim 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Sokol Zapy vs MFK Chrudim?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.