Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 01/11, 10:15

Prediction: MFK Havirov vs FK Hodonin

Team pages: MFK Havirov · FK Hodonin

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
MFK Havirov1.19
FK Hodonin1.55
1X2
29% 25% 45%
MFK Havirov Draw FK Hodonin
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Havirov 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDDLDWWL
FK Hodonin 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Havirov 1464 · FK Hodonin 1507
MFK HavirovDrawFK Hodonin
Our model28%28%44%
Market30%24%46%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Hodonin (rating 1464 vs 1507).
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MFK HavirovFK Hodonin
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.31.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.13.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.24.3 / 0.2

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 SK Unicov 141022 311732
2 SK Artis Brno B 14851 23729
3 Frydek Mistek 14833 241427
4 FC Brno II 14833 312327
5 Sigma Olomouc B 14815 281725
6 SK Hranice 14725 181323
7 TJ Unie Hlubina 14635 312821
8 CSK Uhersky Brod 14635 242321
9 MFK Vitkovice 14545 171719
10 Slovacko II 14536 231818
11 FC Trinity Zlin B 14536 172118
12 FK Hodonin 14527 201817
13 MFK Karvina B 14527 222417
14 SFK Vrchovina 14527 152817
15 MFK Havirov 14257 122311
16 FK Blansko 14257 183211
17 FC Vsetin 143110 112910
18 Polanka 14239 12259

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMFK HavirovFK Hodonin
Sigma Olomouc B 3-0 W 2-0 W
CSK Uhersky Brod 2-2 D 1-2 L
SK Unicov 0-2 L 2-3 L
Frydek Mistek 0-0 D 3-0 W
TJ Unie Hlubina 0-0 D 4-1 W
FC Vsetin 0-1 L 2-0 W
FC Brno II 1-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 3 L 5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Hodonin (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Havirov

LLLDDLDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 SFK Vrchovina
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 0-2 17 L
18/10 Polanka
Czechia 3. Liga
2-0 3-1 64 W
11/10 Sigma Olomouc B
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 3-0 98 W
03/10 CSK Uhersky Brod
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 2-2 67 D
27/09 SK Unicov
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 51 L
19/09 Frydek Mistek
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 0-0 –– D
13/09 TJ Unie Hlubina
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 0-0 81 D
05/09 FC Vsetin
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 0-1 36 L
02/09 SK Artis Brno B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 63 L
30/08 FC Brno II
Czechia 3. Liga
1-1 1-3 25 L

FK Hodonin

LWLLWWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 CSK Uhersky Brod
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 1-2 84 L
18/10 SK Unicov
Czechia 3. Liga
1-2 2-3 63 L
10/10 Frydek Mistek
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 3-0 54 W
03/10 TJ Unie Hlubina
Czechia 3. Liga
2-1 4-1 97 W
26/09 FC Vsetin
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 2-0 77 W
20/09 FC Brno II
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 1-0 45 W
12/09 SK Hranice
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 0-1 87 L
06/09 MFK Karvina B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 0-1 81 L
02/09 Sigma Olomouc B
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 2-0 03 W
29/08 MFK Vitkovice
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 84 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Havirov vs FK Hodonin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Hodonin win (45%). Probabilities: MFK Havirov 29%, draw 25%, FK Hodonin 45%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Havirov vs FK Hodonin?

The model expects 2.74 goals (MFK Havirov 1.19 · FK Hodonin 1.55), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Havirov vs FK Hodonin?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.