Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 02/09, 16:30

Prediction: Slovacko II vs SFK Vrchovina

Team pages: Slovacko II · SFK Vrchovina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Slovacko II1.72

SFK Vrchovina1.28

1X2

47% 25% 28%

Slovacko II Draw SFK Vrchovina

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovacko II 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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SFK Vrchovina 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWLDLWWW

Head-to-head

Slovacko II 2–2–2 SFK Vrchovina (6 last)

SFK Vrchovina3-1Slovacko II
Slovacko II0-0SFK Vrchovina
Slovacko II1-3SFK Vrchovina
SFK Vrchovina1-1Slovacko II
Slovacko II2-0SFK Vrchovina
SFK Vrchovina1-2Slovacko II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovacko II 1513 · SFK Vrchovina 1511

	Slovacko II	Draw	SFK Vrchovina
Our model	47%	26%	28%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovacko II	SFK Vrchovina
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.7	2.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:03 +4’	1.91	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovacko II 2–2–2 SFK Vrchovina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	3-1 HT 1-1	Slovacko II
11/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	0-0 HT 0-0	SFK Vrchovina
05/03/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	1-3 HT 1-2	SFK Vrchovina
05/08/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	1-1 HT 0-1	Slovacko II
01/05/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovacko II	2-0 HT 0-0	SFK Vrchovina
26/09/21 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	1-2 HT 0-2	Slovacko II

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	5	4	1	0	9	0	13
2	Sigma Olomouc B	5	4	0	1	13	4	12
3	SK Unicov	5	4	0	1	10	5	12
4	Frydek Mistek	5	3	1	1	8	5	10
5	SFK Vrchovina	5	3	1	1	5	5	10
6	FC Brno II	5	3	1	1	11	13	10
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	5	3	0	2	17	12	9
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	5	3	0	2	8	6	9
9	Slovacko II	5	2	2	1	9	6	8
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
11	MFK Karvina B	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
12	SK Hranice	5	2	0	3	7	3	6
13	MFK Vitkovice	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
14	FK Hodonin	5	0	2	3	5	10	2
15	FK Blansko	5	0	2	3	7	16	2
16	MFK Havirov	5	0	2	3	4	13	2
17	Polanka	5	0	1	4	2	6	1
18	FC Vsetin	5	0	0	5	4	15	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovacko II	SFK Vrchovina
FC Trinity Zlin B	1-1 D	1-0 W
SK Artis Brno B	0-0 D	0-3 L
FK Blansko	4-2 W	2-2 D
MFK Vitkovice	1-5 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovacko II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
23/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
16/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
09/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
01/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	8	6	W
11/06	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-5	4	1	L
06/06	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	1	1	D
31/05	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
24/05	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
20/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	5	D

SFK Vrchovina

DLWWLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
22/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
15/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
07/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
01/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
12/06	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	1	L
06/06	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
30/05	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
23/05	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	2	8	L
20/05	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovacko II vs SFK Vrchovina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slovacko II win (47%). Probabilities: Slovacko II 47%, draw 25%, SFK Vrchovina 28%.

How many goals are expected in Slovacko II vs SFK Vrchovina?

The model expects 3 goals (Slovacko II 1.72 · SFK Vrchovina 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovacko II vs SFK Vrchovina?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.