Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 16/10, 17:00

Prediction: SK Hranice vs MFK Vitkovice

Team pages: SK Hranice · MFK Vitkovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

SK Hranice1.15

MFK Vitkovice1.12

1X2

36% 29% 35%

SK Hranice Draw MFK Vitkovice

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Hranice 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWDWDW

MFK Vitkovice 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWWDDWLL

Head-to-head

SK Hranice 1–3–1 MFK Vitkovice (5 last)

MFK Vitkovice1-0SK Hranice
SK Hranice0-0MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice1-3SK Hranice
SK Hranice1-1MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice2-2SK Hranice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Hranice 1544 · MFK Vitkovice 1489

	SK Hranice	Draw	MFK Vitkovice
Our model	35%	31%	34%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Hranice (rating 1544 vs 1489).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Hranice	MFK Vitkovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 4.5	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:03 +3’	2.40	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Hranice 1–3–1 MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	1-0 HT 0-0	SK Hranice
22/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	0-0 HT 0-0	MFK Vitkovice
20/05/23 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	1-3 HT 0-2	SK Hranice
22/10/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	1-1 HT 1-0	MFK Vitkovice
11/08/21 Czechia Cup	MFK Vitkovice	2-2 HT 1-1	SK Hranice

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	12	8	2	2	26	14	26
2	SK Artis Brno B	11	7	4	0	20	4	25
3	FC Brno II	11	7	2	2	24	16	23
4	Frydek Mistek	12	6	3	3	19	13	21
5	SK Hranice	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
6	Sigma Olomouc B	12	6	1	5	20	16	19
7	Slovacko II	12	5	3	4	21	14	18
8	FK Hodonin	12	5	2	5	17	13	17
9	MFK Vitkovice	12	4	4	4	12	13	16
10	TJ Unie Hlubina	12	4	3	5	28	27	15
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	12	4	3	5	13	17	15
13	MFK Karvina B	12	4	2	6	19	21	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	12	4	2	6	13	24	14
15	FK Blansko	12	2	5	5	18	28	11
16	FC Vsetin	12	3	1	8	11	26	10
17	Polanka	12	2	3	7	11	17	9
18	MFK Havirov	12	1	5	6	9	20	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Hranice	MFK Vitkovice
FC Trinity Zlin B	1-0 W	3-0 W
SK Artis Brno B	1-1 D	0-0 D
FK Blansko	3-1 W	0-0 D
Slovacko II	1-1 D	1-0 W
FK Hodonin	1-0 W	2-0 W
SFK Vrchovina	1-0 W	0-1 L
Polanka	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Hranice

LWWLWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
02/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
26/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	8	6	W
18/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	0	D
12/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
05/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
02/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	5	5	L
30/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
21/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	9	3	W
15/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	2	L

MFK Vitkovice

DLWWWDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	4	6	L
03/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	8	9	L
25/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
20/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
05/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
02/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
29/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
22/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
16/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Hranice vs MFK Vitkovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Hranice win (36%). Probabilities: SK Hranice 36%, draw 29%, MFK Vitkovice 35%.

How many goals are expected in SK Hranice vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model expects 2.27 goals (SK Hranice 1.15 · MFK Vitkovice 1.12), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Hranice vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.