Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 01/11, 10:15

Prediction: FC Brno II vs MFK Karvina B

Team pages: FC Brno II · MFK Karvina B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

FC Brno II2.34

MFK Karvina B1.12

1X2

64% 20% 16%

FC Brno II Draw MFK Karvina B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Brno II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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MFK Karvina B 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Brno II 1–1–2 MFK Karvina B (4 last)

MFK Karvina B2-0FC Brno II
FC Brno II1-2MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B4-4FC Brno II
FC Brno II3-0MFK Karvina B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Brno II 1533 · MFK Karvina B 1486

	FC Brno II	Draw	MFK Karvina B
Our model	64%	20%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Brno II (rating 1533 vs 1486).
H2H favours MFK Karvina B: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Brno II	MFK Karvina B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Pinn 1.44
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.75 ★
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
17:42 +5’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:22 +25’	1.44	4.75	5.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Brno II 1–1–2 MFK Karvina B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Brno II
02/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Brno II	1-2 HT 0-1	MFK Karvina B
07/06/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	4-4 HT 0-0	FC Brno II
02/11/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Brno II	3-0 HT 1-0	MFK Karvina B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	14	10	2	2	31	17	32
2	SK Artis Brno B	14	8	5	1	23	7	29
3	Frydek Mistek	14	8	3	3	24	14	27
4	FC Brno II	14	8	3	3	31	23	27
5	Sigma Olomouc B	14	8	1	5	28	17	25
6	SK Hranice	14	7	2	5	18	13	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	14	6	3	5	31	28	21
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
9	MFK Vitkovice	14	5	4	5	17	17	19
10	Slovacko II	14	5	3	6	23	18	18
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	14	5	3	6	17	21	18
12	FK Hodonin	14	5	2	7	20	18	17
13	MFK Karvina B	14	5	2	7	22	24	17
14	SFK Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	15	28	17
15	MFK Havirov	14	2	5	7	12	23	11
16	FK Blansko	14	2	5	7	18	32	11
17	FC Vsetin	14	3	1	10	11	29	10
18	Polanka	14	2	3	9	12	25	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Brno II	MFK Karvina B
MFK Vitkovice	2-4 L	4-0 W
FC Trinity Zlin B	4-2 W	0-1 L
SK Artis Brno B	1-1 D	2-2 D
FK Blansko	1-1 D	3-5 L
Slovacko II	1-0 W	1-3 L
FK Hodonin	0-1 L	1-0 W
SFK Vrchovina	3-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Brno II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Brno II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-3	2-4	6	0	L
18/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-2	6	1	W
13/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/10	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
25/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
20/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	2	9	W
06/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	1	4	W
02/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	5-0	3	4	W
30/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	8	5	W

MFK Karvina B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	5	2	W
18/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	1	3	L
10/10	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	8	6	W
04/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
25/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	2	4	D
20/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	3-5	5	3	L
13/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
02/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
29/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Brno II vs MFK Karvina B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Brno II win (64%). Probabilities: FC Brno II 64%, draw 20%, MFK Karvina B 16%.

How many goals are expected in FC Brno II vs MFK Karvina B?

The model expects 3.47 goals (FC Brno II 2.34 · MFK Karvina B 1.12), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Brno II vs MFK Karvina B?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.