Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 02/09, 16:30

Prediction: MFK Vitkovice vs SK Unicov

Team pages: MFK Vitkovice · SK Unicov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

MFK Vitkovice1.18

SK Unicov1.69

1X2

26% 26% 48%

MFK Vitkovice Draw SK Unicov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Vitkovice 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWLDDLW

SK Unicov 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

MFK Vitkovice 3–1–2 SK Unicov (6 last)

SK Unicov0-4MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice2-2SK Unicov
MFK Vitkovice2-1SK Unicov
SK Unicov5-1MFK Vitkovice
SK Unicov2-1MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice2-0SK Unicov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Vitkovice 1542 · SK Unicov 1536

	MFK Vitkovice	Draw	SK Unicov
Our model	26%	26%	48%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MFK Vitkovice: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Vitkovice	SK Unicov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.5	3.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.60

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:49 +18’	3.40	3.60	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Vitkovice 3–1–2 SK Unicov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	0-4 HT 0-2	MFK Vitkovice
27/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	2-2 HT 1-1	SK Unicov
31/05/23 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	2-1 HT 2-0	SK Unicov
06/11/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	5-1 HT 2-0	MFK Vitkovice
29/02/20 Club Friendly List	SK Unicov	2-1 HT 0-0	MFK Vitkovice
12/07/19 Europe Friendlies	MFK Vitkovice	2-0 HT 1-0	SK Unicov

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	5	4	1	0	9	0	13
2	Sigma Olomouc B	5	4	0	1	13	4	12
3	SK Unicov	5	4	0	1	10	5	12
4	Frydek Mistek	5	3	1	1	8	5	10
5	SFK Vrchovina	5	3	1	1	5	5	10
6	FC Brno II	5	3	1	1	11	13	10
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	5	3	0	2	17	12	9
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	5	3	0	2	8	6	9
9	Slovacko II	5	2	2	1	9	6	8
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
11	MFK Karvina B	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
12	SK Hranice	5	2	0	3	7	3	6
13	MFK Vitkovice	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
14	FK Hodonin	5	0	2	3	5	10	2
15	FK Blansko	5	0	2	3	7	16	2
16	MFK Havirov	5	0	2	3	4	13	2
17	Polanka	5	0	1	4	2	6	1
18	FC Vsetin	5	0	0	5	4	15	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Vitkovice	SK Unicov
FK Hodonin	2-0 W	1-3 L
Slovacko II	5-1 W	3-1 W
Trinec	0-1 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Vitkovice (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Vitkovice

DDLWWLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
22/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
16/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
08/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	15	3	D
01/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	1-4	2	11	L
11/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	5-1	12	1	W
06/06	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
17/05	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	–	–	D

SK Unicov

DWLWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
22/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	11	2	W
16/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
07/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	9	2	W
02/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	3-2	5	3	W
06/06	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
31/05	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
23/05	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
20/05	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	3-3	3-3	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Vitkovice vs SK Unicov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Unicov win (48%). Probabilities: MFK Vitkovice 26%, draw 26%, SK Unicov 48%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Vitkovice vs SK Unicov?

The model expects 2.87 goals (MFK Vitkovice 1.18 · SK Unicov 1.69), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Vitkovice vs SK Unicov?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.