Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 18/10, 10:15

Prediction: MFK Havirov vs Polanka

Team pages: MFK Havirov · Polanka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

MFK Havirov1.45

Polanka1.23

1X2

42% 26% 32%

MFK Havirov Draw Polanka

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Havirov 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLDDLDW

Polanka 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLDWLW

Head-to-head

MFK Havirov 1–1–4 Polanka (6 last)

Polanka2-1MFK Havirov
MFK Havirov2-3Polanka
Polanka0-0MFK Havirov
MFK Havirov1-2Polanka
MFK Havirov1-0Polanka
MFK Havirov0-3Polanka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Havirov 1449 · Polanka 1468

	MFK Havirov	Draw	Polanka
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	43%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Polanka: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Havirov	Polanka
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.8	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.7	2.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.63
2	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 3.45 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:26 +12’	2.10	3.60	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:14 +15’	2.22	3.39	2.79
14:00 +97’	1.85▼	3.63▲	3.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Havirov 1–1–4 Polanka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Polanka	2-1 HT 1-0	MFK Havirov
13/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Havirov	2-3 HT 1-2	Polanka
17/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Polanka	0-0 HT 0-0	MFK Havirov
13/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Havirov	1-2 HT 1-1	Polanka
28/08/22 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Havirov	1-0 HT 0-0	Polanka
22/08/21 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Havirov	0-3 HT 0-1	Polanka

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	12	7	5	0	21	5	26
2	SK Unicov	12	8	2	2	26	14	26
3	FC Brno II	12	7	3	2	25	17	24
4	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
5	Frydek Mistek	12	6	3	3	19	13	21
6	Sigma Olomouc B	12	6	1	5	20	16	19
7	Slovacko II	12	5	3	4	21	14	18
8	FK Hodonin	12	5	2	5	17	13	17
9	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
10	TJ Unie Hlubina	12	4	3	5	28	27	15
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	12	4	3	5	13	17	15
13	MFK Karvina B	12	4	2	6	19	21	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	12	4	2	6	13	24	14
15	FK Blansko	12	2	5	5	18	28	11
16	FC Vsetin	12	3	1	8	11	26	10
17	Polanka	12	2	3	7	11	17	9
18	MFK Havirov	12	1	5	6	9	20	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Havirov	Polanka
CSK Uhersky Brod	2-2 D	4-0 W
SK Unicov	0-2 L	1-3 L
Frydek Mistek	0-0 D	1-0 W
TJ Unie Hlubina	0-0 D	1-1 D
FC Vsetin	0-1 L	0-3 L
FC Brno II	1-3 L	1-3 L
SK Hranice	0-6 L	0-1 L
MFK Karvina B	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Polanka (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Havirov

DLLLLDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	8	W
03/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	7	D
27/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
19/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
05/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
02/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
30/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
21/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	0-6	6	3	L
16/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	6	4	D

Polanka

DLLDLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	5	5	W
04/10	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
27/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
13/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
06/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	0	4	L
02/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
30/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
23/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Havirov vs Polanka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Havirov win (42%). Probabilities: MFK Havirov 42%, draw 26%, Polanka 32%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Havirov vs Polanka?

The model expects 2.69 goals (MFK Havirov 1.45 · Polanka 1.23), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Havirov vs Polanka?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.