Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: Polanka vs SFK Vrchovina

Team pages: Polanka · SFK Vrchovina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Polanka1.52

SFK Vrchovina1.66

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Polanka Draw SFK Vrchovina

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Polanka 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWLWLL

SFK Vrchovina 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWLLLW

Head-to-head

Polanka 0–2–0 SFK Vrchovina (2 last)

Polanka2-2SFK Vrchovina
SFK Vrchovina0-0Polanka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polanka 1442 · SFK Vrchovina 1457

	Polanka	Draw	SFK Vrchovina
Our model	34%	26%	40%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polanka	SFK Vrchovina
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2	1.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	2.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.79 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +5’	2.60	3.60	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:29 +1’	2.79	3.38	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polanka 0–2–0 SFK Vrchovina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Polanka	2-2 HT 0-2	SFK Vrchovina
23/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	0-0 HT 0-0	Polanka

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	14	10	2	2	31	17	32
2	SK Artis Brno B	14	8	5	1	23	7	29
3	Frydek Mistek	14	8	3	3	24	14	27
4	FC Brno II	14	8	3	3	31	23	27
5	Sigma Olomouc B	14	8	1	5	28	17	25
6	SK Hranice	14	7	2	5	18	13	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	14	6	3	5	31	28	21
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
9	MFK Vitkovice	14	5	4	5	17	17	19
10	Slovacko II	14	5	3	6	23	18	18
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	14	5	3	6	17	21	18
12	FK Hodonin	14	5	2	7	20	18	17
13	MFK Karvina B	14	5	2	7	22	24	17
14	SFK Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	15	28	17
15	MFK Havirov	14	2	5	7	12	23	11
16	FK Blansko	14	2	5	7	18	32	11
17	FC Vsetin	14	3	1	10	11	29	10
18	Polanka	14	2	3	9	12	25	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polanka	SFK Vrchovina
MFK Havirov	1-3 L	2-0 W
CSK Uhersky Brod	4-0 W	0-4 L
SK Unicov	1-3 L	0-4 L
Frydek Mistek	1-0 W	2-4 L
TJ Unie Hlubina	1-1 D	3-2 W
FC Vsetin	0-3 L	2-2 D
FC Brno II	1-3 L	0-3 L
SK Hranice	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Polanka (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polanka

LDLLDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-5	6	4	L
18/10	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	10	4	L
11/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	5	5	W
04/10	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
27/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
13/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
06/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	0	4	L
02/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
30/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L

SFK Vrchovina

WLLLDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
17/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	10	5	L
10/10	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	4	4	L
03/10	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	1	5	L
26/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
19/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	10	5	D
12/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	5	9	L
05/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
02/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
29/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polanka vs SFK Vrchovina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SFK Vrchovina win (41%). Probabilities: Polanka 34%, draw 25%, SFK Vrchovina 41%.

How many goals are expected in Polanka vs SFK Vrchovina?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Polanka 1.52 · SFK Vrchovina 1.66), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Polanka vs SFK Vrchovina?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.