Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 02/09, 16:30

Prediction: MFK Karvina B vs Frydek Mistek

Team pages: MFK Karvina B · Frydek Mistek

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

MFK Karvina B1.03

Frydek Mistek1.48

1X2

26% 26% 48%

MFK Karvina B Draw Frydek Mistek

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Karvina B 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWWLWDWL

Frydek Mistek 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLDDDWDWLW

Head-to-head

MFK Karvina B 1–1–4 Frydek Mistek (6 last)

Frydek Mistek1-0MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B0-3Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek2-0MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B0-1Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek1-2MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B2-2Frydek Mistek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Karvina B 1505 · Frydek Mistek 1525

	MFK Karvina B	Draw	Frydek Mistek
Our model	25%	29%	46%
Market	28%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Frydek Mistek: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Karvina B	Frydek Mistek
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	4.5 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.80

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:49 +18’	3.25	3.80	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Karvina B 1–1–4 Frydek Mistek

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	1-0 HT 1-0	MFK Karvina B
10/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	0-3 HT 0-1	Frydek Mistek
26/04/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	2-0 HT 1-0	MFK Karvina B
22/09/24 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	0-1 HT 0-0	Frydek Mistek
29/03/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	1-2 HT 0-2	MFK Karvina B
27/08/23 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	2-2 HT 1-1	Frydek Mistek

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	5	4	1	0	9	0	13
2	Sigma Olomouc B	5	4	0	1	13	4	12
3	SK Unicov	5	4	0	1	10	5	12
4	Frydek Mistek	5	3	1	1	8	5	10
5	SFK Vrchovina	5	3	1	1	5	5	10
6	FC Brno II	5	3	1	1	11	13	10
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	5	3	0	2	17	12	9
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	5	3	0	2	8	6	9
9	Slovacko II	5	2	2	1	9	6	8
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
11	MFK Karvina B	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
12	SK Hranice	5	2	0	3	7	3	6
13	MFK Vitkovice	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
14	FK Hodonin	5	0	2	3	5	10	2
15	FK Blansko	5	0	2	3	7	16	2
16	MFK Havirov	5	0	2	3	4	13	2
17	Polanka	5	0	1	4	2	6	1
18	FC Vsetin	5	0	0	5	4	15	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Karvina B	Frydek Mistek
FC Vsetin	2-1 W	2-0 W
FC Brno II	2-0 W	2-2 D
SK Hranice	0-0 D	1-0 W
Sigma Olomouc B	1-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Frydek Mistek (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Karvina B

DLDWWLWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
23/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
16/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
09/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
02/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-3	5	3	L
13/06	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
06/06	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
29/05	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
24/05	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
20/05	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	2	D

Frydek Mistek

DLDDDWDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
22/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
15/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	15	3	W
09/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
31/07	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	0	8	W
12/06	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
06/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	1	D
29/05	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
23/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
20/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Karvina B vs Frydek Mistek?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Frydek Mistek win (48%). Probabilities: MFK Karvina B 26%, draw 26%, Frydek Mistek 48%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Karvina B vs Frydek Mistek?

The model expects 2.52 goals (MFK Karvina B 1.03 · Frydek Mistek 1.48), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Karvina B vs Frydek Mistek?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.