Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 02/09, 16:30

Prediction: FK Hodonin vs Sigma Olomouc B

Team pages: FK Hodonin · Sigma Olomouc B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

FK Hodonin1.41

Sigma Olomouc B2.06

1X2

25% 23% 52%

FK Hodonin Draw Sigma Olomouc B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Hodonin 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLDLDL

Sigma Olomouc B 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

FK Hodonin 1–1–0 Sigma Olomouc B (2 last)

Sigma Olomouc B0-1FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin3-3Sigma Olomouc B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Hodonin 1455 · Sigma Olomouc B 1573

	FK Hodonin	Draw	Sigma Olomouc B
Our model	25%	23%	52%
Market	26%	22%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sigma Olomouc B (rating 1455 vs 1573).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Hodonin	Sigma Olomouc B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	2.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.2	2.2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.50

X4.00

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:00 +8’	3.50	4.00	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Hodonin 1–1–0 Sigma Olomouc B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Sigma Olomouc B	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Hodonin
10/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	3-3 HT 0-0	Sigma Olomouc B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	5	4	1	0	9	0	13
2	Sigma Olomouc B	5	4	0	1	13	4	12
3	SK Unicov	5	4	0	1	10	5	12
4	Frydek Mistek	5	3	1	1	8	5	10
5	SFK Vrchovina	5	3	1	1	5	5	10
6	FC Brno II	5	3	1	1	11	13	10
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	5	3	0	2	17	12	9
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	5	3	0	2	8	6	9
9	Slovacko II	5	2	2	1	9	6	8
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
11	MFK Karvina B	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
12	SK Hranice	5	2	0	3	7	3	6
13	MFK Vitkovice	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
14	FK Hodonin	5	0	2	3	5	10	2
15	FK Blansko	5	0	2	3	7	16	2
16	MFK Havirov	5	0	2	3	4	13	2
17	Polanka	5	0	1	4	2	6	1
18	FC Vsetin	5	0	0	5	4	15	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Hodonin	Sigma Olomouc B
FK Blansko	3-3 D	3-0 W
Slovacko II	1-3 L	2-1 W
Frydek Mistek	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sigma Olomouc B (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Hodonin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
23/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
15/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
08/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	3	6	D
01/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	6	L
13/06	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	3	2	L
06/06	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
03/06	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	4-2	4-3	4	3	W
29/05	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
23/05	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	4	3	W

Sigma Olomouc B

LWWWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
23/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
15/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-2	2	5	W
09/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
02/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	12	4	W
10/06	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-1	7	2	W
05/06	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
31/05	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	5-0	3	1	W
24/05	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
20/05	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	8	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Hodonin vs Sigma Olomouc B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sigma Olomouc B win (52%). Probabilities: FK Hodonin 25%, draw 23%, Sigma Olomouc B 52%.

How many goals are expected in FK Hodonin vs Sigma Olomouc B?

The model expects 3.47 goals (FK Hodonin 1.41 · Sigma Olomouc B 2.06), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Hodonin vs Sigma Olomouc B?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.