Prediction: Resistencia FC vs Carapegua
Expected goals: 2.65 (Resistencia FC 1.45 · Carapegua 1.2). The model gives 42% home, 28% draw, 30% away. Over 2.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Resistencia FC with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Carapegua has piled up 2-3-5 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Resistencia FC won 0 and Carapegua 3, with 1 draw.
| Resistencia FC | Draw | Carapegua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Carapegua: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Resistencia FC | Carapegua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Resistencia FC 0–1–3 Carapegua
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Resistencia FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Carapegua |
| 15/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Carapegua | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Resistencia FC |
| 12/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Carapegua | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Resistencia FC |
| 06/05/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Resistencia FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Carapegua |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | General Caballero JLM | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 20 | 24 |
| 4 | Deportivo Santaní | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Guairena FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 21 |
| 6 | Sol de America | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Deportivo Capiata | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente FBC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 15 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Resistencia FC | Carapegua |
|---|---|---|
| 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Encarnacion FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo Santaní | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Paraguari AC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Sol de America | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Capiata | 1-1 D | 2-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Resistencia FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Resistencia FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 30/06 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 04/06 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 21/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 08/05 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Carapegua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 28/04 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Resistencia FC vs Carapegua?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Resistencia FC win (42%). Probabilities: Resistencia FC 42%, draw 28%, Carapegua 30%.
How many goals are expected in Resistencia FC vs Carapegua?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Resistencia FC 1.45 · Carapegua 1.2), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Resistencia FC vs Carapegua?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.