Football · Japan Football League · 01/11, 11:00
Prediction: Reinmeer Aomori vs FC Tiamo Hirakata
Team pages: Reinmeer Aomori · FC Tiamo Hirakata
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Reinmeer Aomori1.64
FC Tiamo Hirakata1.33
1X2
Reinmeer Aomori
Draw
FC Tiamo Hirakata
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Reinmeer Aomori
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
FC Tiamo Hirakata
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Reinmeer Aomori
2–1–3
FC Tiamo Hirakata
(6 last)
- FC Tiamo Hirakata5-1Reinmeer Aomori
- Reinmeer Aomori2-2FC Tiamo Hirakata
- FC Tiamo Hirakata2-1Reinmeer Aomori
- FC Tiamo Hirakata2-0Reinmeer Aomori
- FC Tiamo Hirakata0-1Reinmeer Aomori
- FC Tiamo Hirakata1-3Reinmeer Aomori
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reinmeer Aomori 1497 · FC Tiamo Hirakata 1445
| Reinmeer Aomori | Draw | FC Tiamo Hirakata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reinmeer Aomori (rating 1497 vs 1445).
- H2H favours FC Tiamo Hirakata: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Reinmeer Aomori | FC Tiamo Hirakata | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.2 | 1 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reinmeer Aomori 2–1–3 FC Tiamo Hirakata
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/25 Japan Football League | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 21/06/25 Japan Football League | Reinmeer Aomori | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FC Tiamo Hirakata |
| 19/10/24 Japan Football League | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 04/06/23 Japan Football League | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 28/08/22 Japan Football League | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 24/10/21 Japan Football League | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Reinmeer Aomori |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criacao Shinjuku | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Verspah Oita | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Vonds Ichihara | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Honda FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Reinmeer Aomori | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Okinawa SV | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Azul Claro Numazu | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Veertien Mie | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | YSCC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
| 10 | J-Lease FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Grulla Morioka FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
| 12 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 10 |
| 13 | Minebea Mitsumi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
| 16 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Reinmeer Aomori | FC Tiamo Hirakata |
|---|---|---|
| YSCC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Yokogawa Musashino FC | 1-0 W | 0-6 L |
| Okinawa SV | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| J-Lease FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Grulla Morioka FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Reinmeer Aomori (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reinmeer Aomori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | YSCC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/11 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
FC Tiamo Hirakata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 21/09 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | YSCC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/11 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/11 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reinmeer Aomori vs FC Tiamo Hirakata?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Reinmeer Aomori win (44%). Probabilities: Reinmeer Aomori 44%, draw 27%, FC Tiamo Hirakata 30%.
How many goals are expected in Reinmeer Aomori vs FC Tiamo Hirakata?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Reinmeer Aomori 1.64 · FC Tiamo Hirakata 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Reinmeer Aomori vs FC Tiamo Hirakata?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.