Prediction: Thor/KA Akureyri (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Expected goals: 3.15 (Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 1.57 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1.57). The model gives 37% home, 25% draw, 37% away. Under 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Thor/KA Akureyri (W) is 1-3-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 4-4-2 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Thor/KA Akureyri (W) won 1 and Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1.

37%1
37% 25% 37%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 1444 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1506
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)DrawGrindavik/Njardvik (W)
Our model37%26%37%
Market38%25%38%
Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.15Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 1.57 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1.57
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grindavik/Njardvik (W) (rating 1444 vs 1506).
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Thor/KA Akureyri (W)Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.31.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.10.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.43.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 02 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 101 Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/04/26
Iceland Premier League Women
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)2-1
HT 0-1
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
21/02/26
Iceland Cup Women
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Breidablik (W) 9702 251121
2 FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 9621 241220
3 Stjarnan (W) 9522 16817
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 9423 131614
5 Throttur Reykjavik (W) 9414 11913
6 Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 9333 111412
7 Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 9315 172310
8 Valur Reykjavik (W) 9234 8119
9 Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 9135 13196
10 Fram Reykjavik (W) 9117 8234

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentThor/KA Akureyri (W)Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Throttur Reykjavik (W) 2-0 W 2-1 W
Valur Reykjavik (W) 0-0 D 3-2 W
Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 4-6 L 1-1 D
Fram Reykjavik (W) 2-3 L 2-0 W
Breidablik (W) 1-3 L 0-5 L
Stjarnan (W) 1-4 L 1-1 D
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 0-2 L 1-1 D
FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 5 L 3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Grindavik/Njardvik (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

DLDLLLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/06 Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
2-0 2-0 81 W
13/06 Valur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-0 0-0 14 D
30/05 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-4 4-6 62 L
25/05 Fram Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
2-2 2-3 63 L
20/05 Breidablik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-0 1-3 43 L
15/05 Stjarnan (W)
Iceland Cup Women
1-1 1-4 54 L
10/05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-1 0-2 33 L
06/05 Stjarnan (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-2 2-2 92 D
30/04 Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
1-0 1-2 71 L
25/04 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-1 1-1 D

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

WLWWDDLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/06 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-0 1-1 100 D
18/06 Stjarnan (W)
Iceland Cup Women
0-0 1-1 63 D
13/06 Fram Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
1-0 2-0 73 W
30/05 Breidablik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-2 0-5 51 L
25/05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
1-0 1-1 55 D
20/05 Stjarnan (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
1-0 1-1 61 D
15/05 Valur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Cup Women
1-0 3-2 43 W
11/05 Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
2-0 2-1 22 W
06/05 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
1-1 1-2 31 L
30/04 Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
0-1 2-1 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thor/KA Akureyri (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Thor/KA Akureyri (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 37%, draw 25%, Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Thor/KA Akureyri (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 1.57 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1.57), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Thor/KA Akureyri (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.