Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 15/07, 21:15
Prediction: Breidablik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.45Total
Breidablik (W)3.21
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1.24
1X2
Breidablik (W)
Draw
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Breidablik (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Breidablik (W)
6–0
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Breidablik (W) 1564 · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1414
| Breidablik (W) | Draw | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.45 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breidablik (W) (rating 1564 vs 1414).
- H2H favours Breidablik (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Breidablik (W) | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.9 / 8.5 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Breidablik (W) 6–0–0 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 2-4 HT 0-1 | Breidablik (W) |
| 28/03/26 Iceland Cup Women | Breidablik (W) | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 06/03/26 Iceland Cup Women | Breidablik (W) | 7-3 HT 2-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 03/10/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Breidablik (W) | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 12/08/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Breidablik (W) |
| 03/05/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Breidablik (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Breidablik (W) | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| 5 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 6 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 7 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 8 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 10 |
| 9 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Breidablik (W) | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 2-3 L | 2-5 L |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 3-1 W | 6-4 W |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Breidablik (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Breidablik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 29/04 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 23/06 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/06 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 6-4 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Keflavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 11/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Breidablik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Breidablik (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Breidablik (W) 75%, draw 15%, Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Breidablik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?
The model expects 4.45 goals (Breidablik (W) 3.21 · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Breidablik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.