Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 15/07, 20:00
Prediction: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)1.47
Valur Reykjavik (W)1.24
1X2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Draw
Valur Reykjavik (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Valur Reykjavik (W)
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
1–1–4
Valur Reykjavik (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1511 · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1466
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | Draw | Valur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) (rating 1511 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Valur Reykjavik (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | Valur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.4 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1–1–4 Valur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) |
| 14/02/26 Iceland Cup Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 3-1 HT 0-1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) |
| 29/07/23 Iceland Premier League Women | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1-7 HT 0-2 | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
| 22/05/23 Iceland Premier League Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) |
| 17/09/22 Iceland Premier League Women | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
| 02/06/22 Iceland Premier League Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Breidablik (W) | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| 5 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 6 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 7 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 8 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 10 |
| 9 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Breidablik (W) | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Stjarnan (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 22/06 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 30/05 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland Cup Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
Valur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) win (42%). Probabilities: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 42%, draw 27%, Valur Reykjavik (W) 31%.
How many goals are expected in IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?
The model expects 2.71 goals (IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1.47 · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1.24), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.