Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 14/07, 21:15
Prediction: Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Fram Reykjavik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
Throttur Reykjavik (W)2.41
Fram Reykjavik (W)1.02
1X2
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Draw
Fram Reykjavik (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Fram Reykjavik (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
4–1–0
Fram Reykjavik (W)
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1507 · Fram Reykjavik (W) 1490
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Draw | Fram Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Throttur Reykjavik (W): 4-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Fram Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 4–1–0 Fram Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 20/06/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 15/04/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Fram Reykjavik (W) |
| 01/03/25 Iceland Cup Women | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 11/01/25 Iceland Cup Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 5-3 HT 3-2 | Fram Reykjavik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Breidablik (W) | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| 5 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 6 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 7 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 8 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 10 |
| 9 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Fram Reykjavik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 3-7 L | 2-6 L |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Stjarnan (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Breidablik (W) | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-3 | 3-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 29/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Fram Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland Cup Women |
5-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/05 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Fram Reykjavik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Throttur Reykjavik (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Throttur Reykjavik (W) 67%, draw 19%, Fram Reykjavik (W) 14%.
How many goals are expected in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Fram Reykjavik (W)?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Throttur Reykjavik (W) 2.41 · Fram Reykjavik (W) 1.02), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Fram Reykjavik (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.