Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 14/11, 10:15

Prediction: FC Krimice vs FK Okula Nyrsko

Team pages: FC Krimice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.03Total

FC Krimice3.02

FK Okula Nyrsko1.02

1X2

79% 13% 8%

FC Krimice Draw FK Okula Nyrsko

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Krimice 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWDWW

FK Okula Nyrsko 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLDLLL

Head-to-head

FC Krimice 2–0 FK Okula Nyrsko (2 last)

FK Okula Nyrsko0-6FC Krimice
FC Krimice3-2FK Okula Nyrsko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Krimice 1592 · FK Okula Nyrsko 1385

	FC Krimice	Draw	FK Okula Nyrsko
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	81%	12%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Krimice (rating 1592 vs 1385).
H2H favours FC Krimice: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Krimice	FK Okula Nyrsko
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	0.9 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.7	0.5 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.14

X8.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.98

2 (+2.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +9’	1.14	8.00	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Krimice 2–0–0 FK Okula Nyrsko

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Czechia Cup	FK Okula Nyrsko	0-6 HT 0-3	FC Krimice
17/08/24 Czechia 5. Liga	FC Krimice	3-2 HT 2-2	FK Okula Nyrsko

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Krimice	FK Okula Nyrsko
SK Senco Doubravka	3-2 W	0-2 L
FC Milevsko	5-2 W	1-2 L
FC Taborsko B	1-1 D	1-4 L
Spartak Sobeslav	3-2 W	2-2 D
TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	1-1 D	0-5 L
Jiskra Domazlice B	1-0 W	4-3 W
SK Petrin Plzen	4-1 W	0-4 L
FK Horovicko	1-0 W	1-3 L
Slavoj Cesky Krumlov	4-2 W	0-3 L
FK Komarov	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: FC Krimice (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Krimice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
24/10	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-2	–	–	W
17/10	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
10/10	Spartak Sobeslav Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-2	8	3	W
02/10	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	8	D
26/09	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
19/09	SK Petrin Plzen Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-1	3	4	W
11/09	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-2	–	–	W
29/08	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	6	4	L

FK Okula Nyrsko

LLLLWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
01/11	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
24/10	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
17/10	Spartak Sobeslav Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
10/10	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
03/10	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	3-2	4-3	–	–	W
26/09	SK Petrin Plzen Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
19/09	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
12/09	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Krimice vs FK Okula Nyrsko?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Krimice win (79%). Probabilities: FC Krimice 79%, draw 13%, FK Okula Nyrsko 8%.

How many goals are expected in FC Krimice vs FK Okula Nyrsko?

The model expects 4.03 goals (FC Krimice 3.02 · FK Okula Nyrsko 1.02), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Krimice vs FK Okula Nyrsko?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.