Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: Spartak Sobeslav vs FK Komarov

Team pages: Spartak Sobeslav · FK Komarov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Spartak Sobeslav1.84

FK Komarov1.41

1X2

47% 24% 29%

Spartak Sobeslav Draw FK Komarov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Spartak Sobeslav 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLDDWW

FK Komarov 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWLWLD

Head-to-head

Spartak Sobeslav 1–2–3 FK Komarov (6 last)

Spartak Sobeslav2-2FK Komarov
FK Komarov2-1Spartak Sobeslav
Spartak Sobeslav3-5FK Komarov
FK Komarov2-0Spartak Sobeslav
Spartak Sobeslav5-2FK Komarov
FK Komarov2-2Spartak Sobeslav

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spartak Sobeslav 1559 · FK Komarov 1543

	Spartak Sobeslav	Draw	FK Komarov
Our model	47%	25%	29%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Komarov: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Spartak Sobeslav	FK Komarov
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.6	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.3	2.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:00 +5’	1.91	3.75	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Sobeslav 1–2–3 FK Komarov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Sobeslav	2-2 HT 0-1	FK Komarov
08/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Komarov	2-1 HT 1-1	Spartak Sobeslav
24/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Sobeslav	3-5 HT 1-3	FK Komarov
26/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Komarov	2-0 HT 1-0	Spartak Sobeslav
20/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Sobeslav	5-2 HT 1-2	FK Komarov
23/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Komarov	2-2 HT 1-1	Spartak Sobeslav

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spartak Sobeslav	FK Komarov
FC Rokycany	3-1 W	1-0 W
SK Strakonice	3-1 W	4-4 D
Spartak Pribram	2-2 D	1-1 D
FK Okula Nyrsko	2-2 D	2-0 W
SK Senco Doubravka	2-1 W	1-0 W
TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	2-2 D	1-1 D
Jiskra Domazlice B	3-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Spartak Sobeslav (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spartak Sobeslav

WDWWWLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
31/10	SK Strakonice Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
24/10	Spartak Pribram Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	FK Okula Nyrsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
10/10	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-3	6	3	L
03/10	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
27/09	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
19/09	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/09	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
29/08	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W

FK Komarov

WWDDWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
01/11	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
24/10	SK Petrin Plzen Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
17/10	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
10/10	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	7	7	W
26/09	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/09	SK Strakonice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-4	3	5	D
12/09	Spartak Pribram Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	FK Okula Nyrsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	7	6	W
02/09	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spartak Sobeslav vs FK Komarov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Sobeslav win (47%). Probabilities: Spartak Sobeslav 47%, draw 24%, FK Komarov 29%.

How many goals are expected in Spartak Sobeslav vs FK Komarov?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Spartak Sobeslav 1.84 · FK Komarov 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Spartak Sobeslav vs FK Komarov?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.