Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 14/11, 10:15

Prediction: Slavoj Vysehrad vs Chomutov

Team pages: Slavoj Vysehrad · Chomutov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

Slavoj Vysehrad1.16

Chomutov2.56

1X2

15% 18% 67%

Slavoj Vysehrad Draw Chomutov

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Slavoj Vysehrad 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLWLLL

Chomutov 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDWWWW

Head-to-head

Slavoj Vysehrad 1–0 Chomutov (1 last)

Chomutov1-2Slavoj Vysehrad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slavoj Vysehrad 1443 · Chomutov 1566

	Slavoj Vysehrad	Draw	Chomutov
Our model	15%	19%	67%
Market	15%	18%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chomutov (rating 1443 vs 1566).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slavoj Vysehrad	Chomutov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.8	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.6	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.4	3.8 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

16.00

X5.00

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.98

2 (-1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:01 +3’	6.00	5.00	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slavoj Vysehrad 1–0–0 Chomutov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/07/17 Czechia Cup	Chomutov	1-2 HT 0-2	Slavoj Vysehrad

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slavoj Vysehrad	Chomutov
Slovan Velvary	3-0 W	3-1 W
SK Ujezd Praha 4	2-4 L	2-1 W
FK Brandys nad Labem	2-5 L	1-0 W
Sokol Hostoun	1-2 L	3-1 W
FC Tempo Prague	1-2 L	2-2 D
FK Ostrov	2-2 D	1-2 L
Slavia Karlovy Vary	4-3 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chomutov (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slavoj Vysehrad

WDLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	4	5	L
31/10	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
24/10	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-4	7	3	L
17/10	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
10/10	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-4	5	5	L
03/10	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-4	2-5	5	2	L
25/09	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	1	6	L
19/09	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
12/09	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	6	8	D
05/09	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-3	3	3	W

Chomutov

WLWWLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	5	4	W
31/10	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	8	W
24/10	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
18/10	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-1	5	6	W
10/10	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/09	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
19/09	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	10	5	W
12/09	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
05/09	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slavoj Vysehrad vs Chomutov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chomutov win (67%). Probabilities: Slavoj Vysehrad 15%, draw 18%, Chomutov 67%.

How many goals are expected in Slavoj Vysehrad vs Chomutov?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Slavoj Vysehrad 1.16 · Chomutov 2.56), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slavoj Vysehrad vs Chomutov?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.