Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: FK Ostrov vs FK Usti nad Labem B

Team pages: FK Ostrov · FK Usti nad Labem B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

FK Ostrov2.05

FK Usti nad Labem B1.6

1X2

47% 24% 29%

FK Ostrov Draw FK Usti nad Labem B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Ostrov 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLLLWD

FK Usti nad Labem B 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLDLWLW

Head-to-head

FK Ostrov 3–1 FK Usti nad Labem B (4 last)

FK Usti nad Labem B3-4FK Ostrov
FK Ostrov1-0FK Usti nad Labem B
FK Ostrov3-0FK Usti nad Labem B
FK Usti nad Labem B2-0FK Ostrov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Ostrov 1483 · FK Usti nad Labem B 1473

	FK Ostrov	Draw	FK Usti nad Labem B
Our model	48%	23%	29%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Ostrov: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Ostrov	FK Usti nad Labem B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.2	1.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.9	1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.6	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:34 +30’	1.91	3.75	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Ostrov 3–0–1 FK Usti nad Labem B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem B	3-4 HT 2-2	FK Ostrov
23/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Usti nad Labem B
03/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	3-0 HT 2-0	FK Usti nad Labem B
06/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem B	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Ostrov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Ostrov	FK Usti nad Labem B
Slavia Karlovy Vary	1-1 D	0-4 L
Hvezda Cheb	3-0 W	0-6 L
SK Slany	0-4 L	0-2 L
SK Steti	1-4 L	1-2 L
Meteor Prague VIII	0-3 L	3-1 W
FK Brandys nad Labem	2-3 L	2-4 L
SK Rapid Psary	1-3 L	2-1 W
Slavoj Vysehrad	2-2 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Usti nad Labem B (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Ostrov

DLLWWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	10	D
31/10	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	4	9	W
24/10	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
17/10	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-4	8	5	L
11/10	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
03/10	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
23/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	2-3	6	8	L
19/09	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	1	8	D

FK Usti nad Labem B

WLLDLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/10	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
24/10	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-1	5	3	W
17/10	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
10/10	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
03/10	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
26/09	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	10	D
19/09	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
12/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
06/09	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	0	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Ostrov vs FK Usti nad Labem B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Ostrov win (47%). Probabilities: FK Ostrov 47%, draw 24%, FK Usti nad Labem B 29%.

How many goals are expected in FK Ostrov vs FK Usti nad Labem B?

The model expects 3.65 goals (FK Ostrov 2.05 · FK Usti nad Labem B 1.6), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Ostrov vs FK Usti nad Labem B?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.