Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 14/11, 10:15

Prediction: SK Rapid Psary vs Banik Sokolov

Team pages: SK Rapid Psary · Banik Sokolov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

SK Rapid Psary2.06

Banik Sokolov1.51

1X2

50% 23% 28%

SK Rapid Psary Draw Banik Sokolov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Rapid Psary 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Banik Sokolov 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

SK Rapid Psary 2–0 Banik Sokolov (2 last)

Banik Sokolov0-1SK Rapid Psary
SK Rapid Psary4-2Banik Sokolov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Rapid Psary 1575 · Banik Sokolov 1503

	SK Rapid Psary	Draw	Banik Sokolov
Our model	50%	23%	27%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Rapid Psary (rating 1575 vs 1503).
H2H favours SK Rapid Psary: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Rapid Psary	Banik Sokolov
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.4	1.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.3	1.2 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:57 +6’	1.80	4.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Rapid Psary 2–0–0 Banik Sokolov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Banik Sokolov	0-1 HT 0-0	SK Rapid Psary
10/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Rapid Psary	4-2 HT 2-1	Banik Sokolov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Rapid Psary	Banik Sokolov
Slavoj Vysehrad	2-1 W	4-1 W
Slovan Velvary	3-1 W	4-2 W
SK Ujezd Praha 4	2-2 D	2-3 L
FK Brandys nad Labem	5-1 W	1-3 L
Sokol Hostoun	1-1 D	2-1 W
FC Tempo Prague	3-2 W	1-4 L
FK Ostrov	3-1 W	1-2 L
Slavia Karlovy Vary	1-2 L	0-2 L
Hvezda Cheb	5-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: SK Rapid Psary (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Rapid Psary

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
31/10	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	9	4	W
24/10	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
17/10	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	5	D
10/10	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	5-1	–	–	W
04/10	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
26/09	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-1	–	–	W

Banik Sokolov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	2	5	W
31/10	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-2	0	6	W
24/10	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-3	4	5	L
17/10	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
10/10	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
03/10	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	3	5	L
26/09	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
23/09	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
18/09	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
12/09	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Rapid Psary vs Banik Sokolov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Rapid Psary win (50%). Probabilities: SK Rapid Psary 50%, draw 23%, Banik Sokolov 28%.

How many goals are expected in SK Rapid Psary vs Banik Sokolov?

The model expects 3.57 goals (SK Rapid Psary 2.06 · Banik Sokolov 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Rapid Psary vs Banik Sokolov?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.