Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 14/11, 10:15

Prediction: FK Chlumec N.C vs FK Prepere

Team pages: FK Chlumec N.C · FK Prepere

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

FK Chlumec N.C1.28

FK Prepere1.64

1X2

30% 24% 46%

FK Chlumec N.C Draw FK Prepere

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Chlumec N.C 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDWDDL

FK Prepere 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWLWD

Head-to-head

FK Chlumec N.C 3–2–1 FK Prepere (6 last)

FK Prepere1-1FK Chlumec N.C
FK Chlumec N.C3-2FK Prepere
FK Prepere3-2FK Chlumec N.C
FK Chlumec N.C2-1FK Prepere
FK Prepere1-1FK Chlumec N.C
FK Chlumec N.C3-2FK Prepere

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Chlumec N.C 1554 · FK Prepere 1561

	FK Chlumec N.C	Draw	FK Prepere
Our model	29%	27%	45%
Market	31%	22%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Chlumec N.C: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Chlumec N.C	FK Prepere
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.6	2.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.9	4.1 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.90

X4.00

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:33 +30’	2.90	4.00	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Chlumec N.C 3–2–1 FK Prepere

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Prepere	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Chlumec N.C
16/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Chlumec N.C	3-2 HT 2-1	FK Prepere
16/03/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Prepere	3-2 HT 2-1	FK Chlumec N.C
20/08/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Chlumec N.C	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Prepere
13/05/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Prepere	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Chlumec N.C
15/10/22 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Chlumec N.C	3-2 HT 1-0	FK Prepere

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Chlumec N.C	FK Prepere
FK Trutnov	0-1 L	0-3 L
Usti N Orlici	0-0 D	1-0 W
Cechie Vykan	1-1 D	5-0 W
TJ Svitavy	4-1 W	3-1 W
Dvur Kralove	0-0 D	0-1 L
Hlinsko	2-0 W	5-0 W
FC Slavia HK	2-0 W	1-0 W
Letohrad	4-1 W	8-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Chlumec N.C

WWWWWDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
01/11	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
24/10	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/10	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-1	9	2	W
11/10	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
04/10	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	0	W
26/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
20/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	6	0	W
12/09	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	9	4	W
06/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	6	W

FK Prepere

WWWLWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
31/10	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
24/10	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
10/10	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
03/10	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	7	2	W
27/09	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	10	6	L
19/09	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-0	3	3	W
12/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	6-0	8-1	11	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Chlumec N.C vs FK Prepere?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Prepere win (46%). Probabilities: FK Chlumec N.C 30%, draw 24%, FK Prepere 46%.

How many goals are expected in FK Chlumec N.C vs FK Prepere?

The model expects 2.91 goals (FK Chlumec N.C 1.28 · FK Prepere 1.64), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Chlumec N.C vs FK Prepere?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.