Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: SK Vysoke Myto vs SK Sparta Kolin

Team pages: SK Vysoke Myto · SK Sparta Kolin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

SK Vysoke Myto2.49

SK Sparta Kolin1.34

1X2

62% 19% 19%

SK Vysoke Myto Draw SK Sparta Kolin

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Vysoke Myto 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWDWD

SK Sparta Kolin 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SK Vysoke Myto 2–1 SK Sparta Kolin (3 last)

SK Sparta Kolin0-3SK Vysoke Myto
SK Sparta Kolin2-1SK Vysoke Myto
SK Vysoke Myto3-2SK Sparta Kolin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Vysoke Myto 1586 · SK Sparta Kolin 1498

	SK Vysoke Myto	Draw	SK Sparta Kolin
Our model	62%	20%	19%
Market	62%	19%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Vysoke Myto (rating 1586 vs 1498).
H2H favours SK Vysoke Myto: 2-0-1.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Vysoke Myto	SK Sparta Kolin
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.3	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.2	2.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.75

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:52 +12’	1.44	4.75	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Vysoke Myto 2–0–1 SK Sparta Kolin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/21 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Sparta Kolin	0-3 HT 0-2	SK Vysoke Myto
30/08/20 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Sparta Kolin	2-1 HT 1-0	SK Vysoke Myto
05/08/18 Czechia Cup	SK Vysoke Myto	3-2 HT 2-2	SK Sparta Kolin

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Vysoke Myto	SK Sparta Kolin
FK Prepere	0-0 D	1-3 L
FK Trutnov	3-0 W	0-1 L
Usti N Orlici	0-0 D	1-2 L
Cechie Vykan	1-0 W	3-2 W
TJ Svitavy	5-3 W	3-1 W
FC Slavia HK	7-2 W	3-0 W
Letohrad	3-2 W	1-2 L
MFK Chrudim B	4-4 D	5-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SK Vysoke Myto (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Vysoke Myto

DWWWWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
31/10	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	3-0	4	1	W
24/10	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
17/10	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	9	4	W
11/10	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	5-3	5	5	W
03/10	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/09	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	7-2	–	–	W
12/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-4	10	3	D

SK Sparta Kolin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	8	2	W
31/10	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	2	1	L
25/10	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	11	2	L
17/10	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-1	11	1	W
04/10	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	2	5	L
27/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
19/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	3-2	4	3	W
13/09	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
06/09	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Vysoke Myto vs SK Sparta Kolin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Vysoke Myto win (62%). Probabilities: SK Vysoke Myto 62%, draw 19%, SK Sparta Kolin 19%.

How many goals are expected in SK Vysoke Myto vs SK Sparta Kolin?

The model expects 3.83 goals (SK Vysoke Myto 2.49 · SK Sparta Kolin 1.34), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Vysoke Myto vs SK Sparta Kolin?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.