Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: MFK Chrudim B vs TJ Svitavy

Team pages: MFK Chrudim B · TJ Svitavy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

MFK Chrudim B1.95

TJ Svitavy2.01

1X2

38% 22% 40%

MFK Chrudim B Draw TJ Svitavy

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Chrudim B 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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TJ Svitavy 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

MFK Chrudim B 1–1 TJ Svitavy (2 last)

TJ Svitavy1-2MFK Chrudim B
MFK Chrudim B0-3TJ Svitavy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Chrudim B 1417 · TJ Svitavy 1401

	MFK Chrudim B	Draw	TJ Svitavy
Our model	38%	22%	40%
Market	38%	22%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Chrudim B	TJ Svitavy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 3.4	0.9 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	0.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4	1.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X4.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:55 +11’	2.38	4.00	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Chrudim B 1–0–1 TJ Svitavy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Svitavy	1-2 HT 1-1	MFK Chrudim B
18/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Chrudim B	0-3 HT 0-2	TJ Svitavy

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Chrudim B	TJ Svitavy
SK Sparta Kolin	1-5 L	1-3 L
Turnov	1-4 L	1-1 D
Spartak Police Nad Metuji	1-2 L	0-5 L
SK Kosmonosy	1-6 L	1-4 L
FK Chlumec N.C	2-3 L	1-4 L
SK Vysoke Myto	4-4 D	3-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Chrudim B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	5	7	L
31/10	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	9	D
24/10	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	6	1	L
17/10	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
11/10	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-5	3	1	L
04/10	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-4	5	5	L
26/09	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
19/09	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-6	3	6	L
12/09	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	2	4	L
05/09	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-4	5	3	D

TJ Svitavy

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/11	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
25/10	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-4	3	3	L
18/10	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-4	3	2	L
11/10	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-5	3	5	L
03/10	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	5	2	L
27/09	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	8	5	L
19/09	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
06/09	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Chrudim B vs TJ Svitavy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TJ Svitavy win (40%). Probabilities: MFK Chrudim B 38%, draw 22%, TJ Svitavy 40%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Chrudim B vs TJ Svitavy?

The model expects 3.96 goals (MFK Chrudim B 1.95 · TJ Svitavy 2.01), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Chrudim B vs TJ Svitavy?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.