Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 15/11, 14:00

Prediction: Turnov vs Cechie Vykan

Team pages: Turnov · Cechie Vykan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

Turnov2.4

Cechie Vykan1.25

1X2

62% 20% 18%

Turnov Draw Cechie Vykan

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Turnov 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWWWD

Cechie Vykan 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLDLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Turnov 1581 · Cechie Vykan 1429

	Turnov	Draw	Cechie Vykan
Our model	62%	20%	18%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Turnov (rating 1581 vs 1429).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Turnov	Cechie Vykan
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.1	0.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7.1	2.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +2’	1.44	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	14	12	0	2	48	15	36
2	Kravare	14	10	3	1	32	15	33
3	FC Vratimov	14	10	0	4	28	20	30
4	Hlucin	14	8	2	4	28	18	26
5	SK Zabreh	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	14	6	2	6	25	26	20
8	Opava B	14	6	1	7	29	29	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	14	5	3	6	30	24	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	14	3	5	6	18	21	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	14	3	4	7	14	29	13
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Turnov	Cechie Vykan
TJ Svitavy	1-1 D	0-0 D
FC Slavia HK	3-0 W	1-3 L
SK Sparta Kolin	2-1 W	2-3 L
Spartak Police Nad Metuji	5-3 W	2-0 W
SK Kosmonosy	4-1 W	1-4 L
FK Chlumec N.C	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Turnov (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Turnov

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/11	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	9	6	W
24/10	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	3	W
18/10	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
10/10	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
04/10	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-1	11	5	W
27/09	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
20/09	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-3	–	–	W
13/09	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-1	7	5	W
06/09	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	6	L

Cechie Vykan

DLLLLLLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/10	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-4	4	2	L
24/10	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
17/10	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
10/10	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
03/10	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	8	L
26/09	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
23/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
19/09	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-3	5	3	L
13/09	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Turnov vs Cechie Vykan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Turnov win (62%). Probabilities: Turnov 62%, draw 20%, Cechie Vykan 18%.

How many goals are expected in Turnov vs Cechie Vykan?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Turnov 2.4 · Cechie Vykan 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Turnov vs Cechie Vykan?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.