Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: FK Horovicko vs SK Petrin Plzen

Team pages: FK Horovicko · SK Petrin Plzen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

FK Horovicko1.53

SK Petrin Plzen1.66

1X2

35% 26% 40%

FK Horovicko Draw SK Petrin Plzen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Horovicko 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDWLWD

SK Petrin Plzen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWWLW

Head-to-head

FK Horovicko 2–1–3 SK Petrin Plzen (6 last)

SK Petrin Plzen3-0FK Horovicko
FK Horovicko2-4SK Petrin Plzen
SK Petrin Plzen1-1FK Horovicko
SK Petrin Plzen0-1FK Horovicko
FK Horovicko1-3SK Petrin Plzen
SK Petrin Plzen2-5FK Horovicko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Horovicko 1524 · SK Petrin Plzen 1560

	FK Horovicko	Draw	SK Petrin Plzen
Our model	35%	26%	40%
Market	35%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SK Petrin Plzen: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Horovicko	SK Petrin Plzen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	2.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.2	2.9 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:02 +10’	2.60	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Horovicko 2–1–3 SK Petrin Plzen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Petrin Plzen	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Horovicko
14/10/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Horovicko	2-4 HT 0-2	SK Petrin Plzen
03/06/23 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Petrin Plzen	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Horovicko
11/06/22 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Petrin Plzen	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Horovicko
30/10/21 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Horovicko	1-3 HT 1-1	SK Petrin Plzen
18/04/18 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Petrin Plzen	2-5 HT 2-3	FK Horovicko

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	13	5	5	3	27	21	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	TJ Novy Jicin	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
11	Pusta Polom	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
12	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	13	4	2	7	24	28	14
14	Bridlicna	13	3	1	9	17	29	10
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	13	1	0	12	13	49	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Horovicko	SK Petrin Plzen
Slavoj Cesky Krumlov	2-2 D	4-0 W
FK Komarov	1-0 W	0-4 L
FC Rokycany	1-2 L	2-1 W
SK Strakonice	2-1 W	4-1 W
Spartak Pribram	1-1 D	4-3 W
FK Okula Nyrsko	3-1 W	4-0 W
FC Krimice	0-1 L	1-4 L
SK Senco Doubravka	3-0 W	4-2 W
FC Milevsko	1-0 W	3-0 W
FC Taborsko B	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	7 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SK Petrin Plzen (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Horovicko

LWWLWDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-2	6	2	D
17/10	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/10	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	SK Strakonice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Spartak Pribram Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
19/09	FK Okula Nyrsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	3	W
11/09	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/08	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	1	2	L

SK Petrin Plzen

DWWLWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	8	2	W
24/10	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-4	6	3	L
17/10	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	8	1	W
11/10	SK Strakonice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-1	12	0	W
03/10	Spartak Pribram Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-3	6	7	W
26/09	FK Okula Nyrsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/09	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-4	8	4	L
12/09	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
30/08	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Horovicko vs SK Petrin Plzen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Petrin Plzen win (40%). Probabilities: FK Horovicko 35%, draw 26%, SK Petrin Plzen 40%.

How many goals are expected in FK Horovicko vs SK Petrin Plzen?

The model expects 3.19 goals (FK Horovicko 1.53 · SK Petrin Plzen 1.66), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Horovicko vs SK Petrin Plzen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.