Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/11, 17:00

Prediction: Hvezda Cheb vs FC Tempo Prague

Team pages: Hvezda Cheb · FC Tempo Prague

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.93Total

Hvezda Cheb1.57

FC Tempo Prague2.36

1X2

24% 21% 54%

Hvezda Cheb Draw FC Tempo Prague

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Hvezda Cheb 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDLWLL

FC Tempo Prague 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWDWLD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hvezda Cheb 1426 · FC Tempo Prague 1508

	Hvezda Cheb	Draw	FC Tempo Prague
Our model	24%	21%	55%
Market	24%	21%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tempo Prague (rating 1426 vs 1508).
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hvezda Cheb	FC Tempo Prague
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.8	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.5	3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.70

X4.20

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 3.70▼	Pinn 4.03 ★
X	4.50 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	1.50 → 1.65▲	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +8’	4.50	4.50	1.50
08:03 +10’	3.70▼	4.20▼	1.65▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:27 +55’	4.16	4.13	1.57
07:58 +27’	4.03▼	4.03▼	1.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	13	5	5	3	27	21	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	TJ Novy Jicin	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
11	Pusta Polom	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
12	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	13	4	2	7	24	28	14
14	Bridlicna	13	3	1	9	17	29	10
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	13	1	0	12	13	49	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hvezda Cheb	FC Tempo Prague
SK Slany	0-3 L	2-2 D
SK Steti	1-1 D	0-1 L
Meteor Prague VIII	2-7 L	4-2 W
Chomutov	1-3 L	2-2 D
Banik Sokolov	1-3 L	4-1 W
SK Rapid Psary	1-5 L	2-3 L
Slavoj Vysehrad	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tempo Prague (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hvezda Cheb

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	0	9	L
23/10	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
17/10	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
10/10	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
03/10	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	2-7	3	1	L
19/09	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
12/09	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	4	7	L
05/09	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
29/08	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	3	5	W

FC Tempo Prague

WLLWLWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
24/10	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	8	8	L
17/10	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	4-2	4-2	8	8	W
10/10	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	2	5	W
26/09	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
19/09	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
05/09	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	1	L
29/08	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hvezda Cheb vs FC Tempo Prague?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tempo Prague win (54%). Probabilities: Hvezda Cheb 24%, draw 21%, FC Tempo Prague 54%.

How many goals are expected in Hvezda Cheb vs FC Tempo Prague?

The model expects 3.93 goals (Hvezda Cheb 1.57 · FC Tempo Prague 2.36), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hvezda Cheb vs FC Tempo Prague?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.