Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: SK Slany vs Sokol Hostoun

Team pages: SK Slany · Sokol Hostoun

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

SK Slany1.49

Sokol Hostoun1.82

1X2

31% 24% 45%

SK Slany Draw Sokol Hostoun

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Slany 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWDWD

Sokol Hostoun 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDLLWW

Head-to-head

SK Slany 1–2–1 Sokol Hostoun (4 last)

SK Slany2-2Sokol Hostoun
SK Slany2-1Sokol Hostoun
SK Slany0-1Sokol Hostoun
SK Slany1-1Sokol Hostoun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Slany 1506 · Sokol Hostoun 1568

	SK Slany	Draw	Sokol Hostoun
Our model	31%	25%	45%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sokol Hostoun (rating 1506 vs 1568).
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Slany	Sokol Hostoun
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	2.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.4	3 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.75

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:09 +5’	2.90	3.75	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Slany 1–2–1 Sokol Hostoun

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/08/25 Czechia Cup	SK Slany	2-2 HT 0-1	Sokol Hostoun
19/07/23 Europe Friendlies	SK Slany	2-1 HT 0-1	Sokol Hostoun
29/07/22 Czechia Cup	SK Slany	0-1 HT 0-1	Sokol Hostoun
15/08/20 Czechia Cup	SK Slany	1-1 HT 0-0	Sokol Hostoun

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	13	5	5	3	27	21	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	TJ Novy Jicin	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
11	Pusta Polom	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
12	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	13	4	2	7	24	28	14
14	Bridlicna	13	3	1	9	17	29	10
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	13	1	0	12	13	49	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Slany	Sokol Hostoun
FK Usti nad Labem B	2-0 W	4-0 W
SK Steti	0-3 L	5-1 W
Meteor Prague VIII	0-2 L	4-2 W
Chomutov	2-0 W	1-3 L
Banik Sokolov	1-2 L	1-2 L
SK Rapid Psary	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sokol Hostoun (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Slany

LLWLLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	7	4	D
24/10	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
17/10	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
03/10	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/09	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
19/09	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	4	5	L
12/09	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
05/09	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
29/08	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	3	3	L

Sokol Hostoun

WWWWWDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	5-1	7	3	W
25/10	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-2	6	4	W
18/10	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	7	6	L
10/10	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
04/10	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
25/09	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
20/09	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	5-1	10	4	W
12/09	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
06/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-2	7	3	W
29/08	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	10	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Slany vs Sokol Hostoun?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sokol Hostoun win (45%). Probabilities: SK Slany 31%, draw 24%, Sokol Hostoun 45%.

How many goals are expected in SK Slany vs Sokol Hostoun?

The model expects 3.31 goals (SK Slany 1.49 · Sokol Hostoun 1.82), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Slany vs Sokol Hostoun?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.