Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: FK Trutnov vs FK Chlumec N.C

Team pages: FK Trutnov · FK Chlumec N.C

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

FK Trutnov1.53

FK Chlumec N.C1.32

1X2

42% 25% 33%

FK Trutnov Draw FK Chlumec N.C

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Trutnov 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWWL

FK Chlumec N.C 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDWDD

Head-to-head

FK Trutnov 2–1 FK Chlumec N.C (3 last)

FK Chlumec N.C1-2FK Trutnov
FK Trutnov2-1FK Chlumec N.C
FK Chlumec N.C7-2FK Trutnov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Trutnov 1571 · FK Chlumec N.C 1549

	FK Trutnov	Draw	FK Chlumec N.C
Our model	41%	27%	32%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Trutnov: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Trutnov	FK Chlumec N.C
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.7	3.3 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:02 +9’	2.10	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Trutnov 2–0–1 FK Chlumec N.C

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Chlumec N.C	1-2 HT 0-0	FK Trutnov
21/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Trutnov	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Chlumec N.C
30/05/20 Europe Friendlies	FK Chlumec N.C	7-2 HT 4-2	FK Trutnov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	13	5	5	3	27	21	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	TJ Novy Jicin	13	4	4	5	20	24	16
11	Pusta Polom	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
12	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	13	4	2	7	24	28	14
14	Bridlicna	13	3	1	9	17	29	10
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	13	1	0	12	13	49	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Trutnov	FK Chlumec N.C
Usti N Orlici	2-1 W	0-0 D
Cechie Vykan	2-1 W	1-1 D
TJ Svitavy	3-1 W	4-1 W
Dvur Kralove	2-0 W	0-0 D
Hlinsko	0-1 L	2-0 W
FC Slavia HK	2-2 D	2-0 W
Letohrad	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Chlumec N.C (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Trutnov

WDLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-3	0	1	L
24/10	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/10	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
11/10	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
03/10	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	3	8	W
27/09	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	3	5	W
19/09	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	13	4	L
05/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
29/08	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W

FK Chlumec N.C

LWWWWWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
24/10	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/10	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-1	9	2	W
11/10	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
04/10	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	0	W
26/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
20/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	6	0	W
12/09	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	9	4	W
06/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
30/08	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Trutnov vs FK Chlumec N.C?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Trutnov win (42%). Probabilities: FK Trutnov 42%, draw 25%, FK Chlumec N.C 33%.

How many goals are expected in FK Trutnov vs FK Chlumec N.C?

The model expects 2.84 goals (FK Trutnov 1.53 · FK Chlumec N.C 1.32), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Trutnov vs FK Chlumec N.C?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.