Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: SK Sparta Kolin vs FC Slavia HK

Team pages: SK Sparta Kolin · FC Slavia HK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

SK Sparta Kolin2.28

FC Slavia HK1.51

1X2

55% 20% 25%

SK Sparta Kolin Draw FC Slavia HK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Sparta Kolin 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWLLL

FC Slavia HK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SK Sparta Kolin 1–0 FC Slavia HK (1 last)

FC Slavia HK0-3SK Sparta Kolin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Sparta Kolin 1472 · FC Slavia HK 1455

	SK Sparta Kolin	Draw	FC Slavia HK
Our model	54%	21%	24%
Market	56%	19%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Sparta Kolin	FC Slavia HK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	1.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/0/60%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	3.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.75

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +34’	1.61	4.75	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sparta Kolin 1–0–0 FC Slavia HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/24 Club Friendly List	FC Slavia HK	0-3 HT 0-1	SK Sparta Kolin

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	13	11	0	2	45	15	33
2	Kravare	13	9	3	1	30	14	30
3	FC Vratimov	13	9	0	4	26	19	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	SK Zabreh	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
6	TJ Valasske Mezirici	14	5	5	4	29	24	20
7	SK Stonava	13	6	2	5	24	23	20
8	Opava B	13	6	1	6	29	26	19
9	Jiskra Rymarov	13	5	3	5	29	22	18
10	Pusta Polom	14	5	3	6	24	27	18
11	Frydek Mistek B	14	5	2	7	25	28	17
12	TJ Novy Jicin	14	4	4	6	20	25	16
13	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
14	Bridlicna	14	4	1	9	23	31	13
15	SSK Bilovec	13	2	4	7	11	28	10
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	14	1	0	13	15	55	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Sparta Kolin	FC Slavia HK
FK Prepere	1-3 L	0-1 L
Letohrad	1-2 L	1-5 L
FK Trutnov	0-1 L	2-2 D
MFK Chrudim B	5-1 W	4-0 W
Turnov	1-2 L	0-3 L
Cechie Vykan	3-2 W	3-1 W
Spartak Police Nad Metuji	3-1 W	1-1 D
SK Kosmonosy	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Slavia HK (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Sparta Kolin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	2	1	L
25/10	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	11	2	L
17/10	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-1	11	1	W
04/10	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	2	5	L
27/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
19/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	3-2	4	3	W
13/09	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
06/09	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
30/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	2	3	L

FC Slavia HK

DLLWLLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
24/10	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	10	1	W
18/10	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	9	2	L
10/10	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
03/10	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
26/09	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
23/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
19/09	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-7	–	–	L
12/09	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Sparta Kolin vs FC Slavia HK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sparta Kolin win (55%). Probabilities: SK Sparta Kolin 55%, draw 20%, FC Slavia HK 25%.

How many goals are expected in SK Sparta Kolin vs FC Slavia HK?

The model expects 3.79 goals (SK Sparta Kolin 2.28 · FC Slavia HK 1.51), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Sparta Kolin vs FC Slavia HK?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.