Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 08/08, 21:00
Prediction: FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
FK Sarajevo1.85
Radnik Bijeljina0.69
1X2
FK Sarajevo
Draw
Radnik Bijeljina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FK Sarajevo
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Radnik Bijeljina
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Sarajevo
3–3–0
Radnik Bijeljina
(6 last)
- Radnik Bijeljina1-2FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo2-0Radnik Bijeljina
- Radnik Bijeljina2-2FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo4-4Radnik Bijeljina
- FK Sarajevo1-1Radnik Bijeljina
- Radnik Bijeljina2-3FK Sarajevo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Sarajevo 1561 · Radnik Bijeljina 1429
| FK Sarajevo | Draw | Radnik Bijeljina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 24% | 12% |
| Market | 65% | 22% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Sarajevo (rating 1561 vs 1429).
- H2H favours FK Sarajevo: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Sarajevo | Radnik Bijeljina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.1 | 2 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Sarajevo 3–3–0 Radnik Bijeljina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Radnik Bijeljina | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FK Sarajevo |
| 06/02/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Radnik Bijeljina |
| 18/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Radnik Bijeljina | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| 03/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 4-4 HT 1-0 | Radnik Bijeljina |
| 25/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Radnik Bijeljina |
| 03/12/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Radnik Bijeljina | 2-3 HT 1-2 | FK Sarajevo |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zeljeznicar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Radnik Bijeljina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | FK Sarajevo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | FK Sloga Doboj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Velez Mostar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Zrinjski Mostar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | NK Celik Zenica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Siroki Brijeg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | BSK Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Sarajevo | Radnik Bijeljina |
|---|---|---|
| Zrinjski Mostar | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Velez Mostar | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Siroki Brijeg | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| FK Rudar Prijedor | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Borac Banja Luka | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Sarajevo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Sarajevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | FC Inter UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/07 | FC Inter UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Zrinjski Mostar Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 01/07 | Sutjeska Niksic Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Radnik Bijeljina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ujpest Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | FC Akhmat Grozny Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | FK Napredak Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | FK Zemun Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Sarajevo win (65%). Probabilities: FK Sarajevo 65%, draw 23%, Radnik Bijeljina 12%.
How many goals are expected in FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina?
The model expects 2.54 goals (FK Sarajevo 1.85 · Radnik Bijeljina 0.69), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.