Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 14/08, 20:00
Prediction: NK Celik Zenica vs Siroki Brijeg
Team pages: NK Celik Zenica · Siroki Brijeg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
NK Celik Zenica1.55
Siroki Brijeg1.1
1X2
NK Celik Zenica
Draw
Siroki Brijeg
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
NK Celik Zenica
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Siroki Brijeg
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Celik Zenica
2–2–2
Siroki Brijeg
(6 last)
- NK Celik Zenica2-0Siroki Brijeg
- Siroki Brijeg0-1NK Celik Zenica
- NK Celik Zenica1-1Siroki Brijeg
- NK Celik Zenica1-1Siroki Brijeg
- Siroki Brijeg6-0NK Celik Zenica
- NK Celik Zenica1-4Siroki Brijeg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Celik Zenica 1573 · Siroki Brijeg 1486
| NK Celik Zenica | Draw | Siroki Brijeg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Celik Zenica (rating 1573 vs 1486).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Celik Zenica | Siroki Brijeg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 78/22/0% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.4 | 1.9 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Celik Zenica 2–2–2 Siroki Brijeg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/19 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | NK Celik Zenica | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Siroki Brijeg |
| 22/07/19 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Siroki Brijeg | 0-1 HT 0-0 | NK Celik Zenica |
| 25/05/19 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | NK Celik Zenica | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Siroki Brijeg |
| 21/10/18 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | NK Celik Zenica | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Siroki Brijeg |
| 05/08/18 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Siroki Brijeg | 6-0 HT 3-0 | NK Celik Zenica |
| 04/11/17 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | NK Celik Zenica | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Siroki Brijeg |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siroki Brijeg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Zeljeznicar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Zrinjski Mostar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Radnik Bijeljina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | FK Sarajevo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | FK Sloga Doboj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | NK Celik Zenica | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | Velez Mostar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Celik Zenica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Zvijezda 09 Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Tuzla City Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Siroki Brijeg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | HNK Tomislav Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | NK Croatia Zmijavci Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Zrinjski Mostar Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Celik Zenica vs Siroki Brijeg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Celik Zenica win (46%). Probabilities: NK Celik Zenica 46%, draw 28%, Siroki Brijeg 26%.
How many goals are expected in NK Celik Zenica vs Siroki Brijeg?
The model expects 2.65 goals (NK Celik Zenica 1.55 · Siroki Brijeg 1.1), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Celik Zenica vs Siroki Brijeg?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.