Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 09/08, 18:30
Prediction: Borac Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Borac Banja Luka1.81
Velez Mostar0.6
1X2
Borac Banja Luka
Draw
Velez Mostar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Borac Banja Luka
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Velez Mostar
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Borac Banja Luka
2–4–0
Velez Mostar
(6 last)
- Borac Banja Luka2-2Velez Mostar
- Velez Mostar0-0Borac Banja Luka
- Borac Banja Luka1-0Velez Mostar
- Velez Mostar1-1Borac Banja Luka
- Borac Banja Luka1-0Velez Mostar
- Velez Mostar0-0Borac Banja Luka
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Borac Banja Luka 1553 · Velez Mostar 1472
| Borac Banja Luka | Draw | Velez Mostar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 24% | 11% |
| Market | 66% | 23% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borac Banja Luka (rating 1553 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Borac Banja Luka: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Borac Banja Luka | Velez Mostar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 2 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Borac Banja Luka 2–4–0 Velez Mostar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Velez Mostar |
| 07/02/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Velez Mostar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 19/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Velez Mostar |
| 03/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Velez Mostar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 10/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Velez Mostar |
| 02/11/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Velez Mostar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Borac Banja Luka |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zeljeznicar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Radnik Bijeljina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | FK Sarajevo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | FK Sloga Doboj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Velez Mostar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Zrinjski Mostar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | NK Celik Zenica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Siroki Brijeg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | BSK Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Borac Banja Luka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | FC ML Vitebsk UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 30/07 | CS Petrocub UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | CS Petrocub UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/07 | Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/06 | FC Akhmat Grozny Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | IMT Novi Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | Sutjeska Niksic Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 26/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
Velez Mostar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Dunajska Streda UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Dunajska Streda UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/07 | FC Milsami UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 09/07 | FC Milsami UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 26/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
3-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Borac Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Borac Banja Luka win (66%). Probabilities: Borac Banja Luka 66%, draw 23%, Velez Mostar 11%.
How many goals are expected in Borac Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Borac Banja Luka 1.81 · Velez Mostar 0.6), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Borac Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.